Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" investment rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 35.42, reflecting a 6% decrease from previous estimates [2][40]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2023 was RMB 630 million, a decline of 10.66% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 80 million, down 39.18% [7][10]. - The decrease in net profit was attributed to changes in downstream market demand and adjustments in product mix, with revenue from synthetic flavors, cooling agents, and natural flavors changing by -18.18%, 19.29%, and -29.53% respectively [7][11]. - The company is expanding its capacity and developing new products, with significant projects underway, including a 300-ton/year Isoamyl Acetate project and a 500-ton/year WS-23 project [7][11]. Financial Performance - The company's gross profit margin (GPM) for synthetic flavors, cooling agents, and natural flavors changed by -9.37, 1.50, and -5.05 percentage points, resulting in GPMs of 16.92%, 33.94%, and 37.20% respectively [7][11]. - Total expenses in sales, management, finance, and R&D increased significantly, with total expense ratio rising by 4.78 percentage points to 19.18% [7][11]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are RMB 1.54, RMB 2.55, and RMB 3.25 respectively, indicating a recovery in profitability [2][40]. Revenue and Cost Projections - The total revenue is expected to grow to RMB 900 million in 2024, RMB 1.199 billion in 2025, and RMB 1.438 billion in 2026, with corresponding net profits of RMB 124 million, RMB 206 million, and RMB 262 million [6][12]. - The gross profit margin is projected to improve to 33.7% in 2024, 35.7% in 2025, and 37.2% in 2026 [6][12]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company has established strong relationships with well-known domestic and international firms, leveraging its advantages in brand, customer resources, product quality, and technology [11][7]. - As an early developer of natural flavors in China, the company has a robust R&D and production capability, currently able to mass-produce nearly 300 types of flavors, including over 160 natural flavors [11][7].
23年归母净利润0.80亿元，同比下降39.18%，看好泰国基地成为公司业绩新增长点