本周热点前瞻

Group 1: Economic Indicators - On May 15, 2024, 125 billion MLF is set to mature, with expectations that the central bank will maintain the MLF bidding rate at 2.50%[2] - The U.S. Labor Department will release the April CPI on May 15, with expectations for a year-on-year rate of 3.4%, down from 3.5%[14] - The U.S. Commerce Department will announce April retail sales on May 15, with a forecasted month-on-month increase of 0.4%, down from 0.7%[15] - The National Bureau of Statistics will hold a press conference on May 17 to release macroeconomic data, including fixed asset investment and industrial value-added for April, with expected growth rates of 4.6% and 5.5% respectively[22] Group 2: Market Implications - If the U.S. April PPI and core PPI are slightly lower than previous values, it may suppress industrial commodity prices[5] - A decrease in U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending May 11 is expected to support gold and silver futures prices[20] - Higher-than-expected fixed asset investment and retail sales growth could boost commodity futures prices while suppressing government bond futures[22] - The release of the IEA monthly oil market report on May 15 is anticipated to impact oil and related commodity futures prices[9]