南非推动可持续发展目标：开启可持续发展目标加速发展的新途径（英）2024

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry [10]. Core Insights - South Africa faces significant development challenges, including high poverty (40.0% lower-bound, 55.5% upper-bound), inequality (Gini coefficient of 0.63), and unemployment (32.6% in 2023) [10][11]. - The SDG Push Framework aims to identify pathways to accelerate progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by addressing these challenges through targeted policy interventions [12][18]. - Economic modelling indicates that without intervention, South Africa will not meet key SDG targets, particularly those related to poverty and inequality [14][49]. - A combination of skills formation, economic growth in targeted sectors, and conditional social grants is essential to effectively tackle the triple challenges of unemployment, poverty, and inequality [16][50]. Summary by Sections Executive Summary - South Africa's development is hindered by structural challenges and weak growth, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic [10]. - The Government's Economic Reconstruction and Recovery Plan (ERRP) is the primary framework for addressing these challenges [10][11]. Introduction - The SDG Push Framework was piloted in South Africa to identify viable pathways for development within fiscal constraints [18][19]. - The framework aligns with the National Development Plan (NDP) and aims to fulfill commitments towards the SDGs [17][18]. SDG Push Pilot: South Africa - The pilot focuses on skill formation acceleration, service sector growth, industrial sector growth, and social grants [24]. - The scoping phase assessed gaps and bottlenecks in achieving SDGs, providing a high-level overview of the development landscape [25][26]. Scoping Phase - The SDG Push Diagnostic Simulator was utilized to identify disparities in SDG advancement and assess progress towards targets [26][64]. - Key SDGs identified include 1 (No Poverty), 8 (Decent Work and Economic Growth), 10 (Reduced Inequalities), and 16 (Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions) [27][64]. Acceleration Dialogues - Multi-stakeholder dialogues were conducted to identify interventions that could accelerate SDG progress [28][29]. - The need for social protection and private sector involvement was emphasized as critical for addressing development challenges [31]. Modelling - Economic modelling combined macro and micro effects of policy interventions to assess impacts on growth, unemployment, and inequality [33][34]. - The modelling identified six focus SDGs and projected that a business-as-usual approach would lead to off-track outcomes for key indicators [34][35]. Results - The results indicated that targeted interventions could significantly boost economic growth and reduce unemployment, but poverty and inequality would remain high without additional measures [42][49]. - Conditional social grants, particularly when financed by external sources, showed the greatest potential for achieving poverty and inequality-oriented SDGs [49][50]. Conclusion - The report concludes that without significant policy changes, South Africa will not achieve its SDG targets by 2030 [51]. - A combination of policies is necessary to effectively address the intertwined challenges of unemployment, poverty, and inequality [52].