德科立:DCI需求旺盛,产能瓶颈有望逐渐缓解-20250522
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:48
Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating of the company to "Accumulate-A" [4][10]. Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue and profit for 2024, achieving revenue of 840 million yuan, a year-on-year growth of 2.8%. The transmission product line saw a revenue decline of 3.5% to 720 million yuan, primarily due to a slowdown in domestic transmission network investments. In contrast, the data and access product line revenue surged by 70% to 100 million yuan, driven by strong demand for DCI subsystem products since the second half of 2024 [4][5]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a slight revenue increase to 200 million yuan, but net profit decreased by 36.8% year-on-year to 20 million yuan, reflecting challenges in performance expectations [4][5]. - The DCI market in North America is experiencing strong demand, with the company holding competitive advantages in DCI optical and electrical layers. The company has completed the development of a full range of DCI equipment and is actively expanding production capacity [6][10]. Financial Data Summary - The company’s projected revenue for 2025 is 1.25 billion yuan, with net profit expected to reach 139 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 38% [10][12]. - The gross margin is expected to improve gradually, with projections of 31.7% in 2025 and 33.3% in 2026 [12][14]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.15 yuan in 2025, increasing to 2.38 yuan by 2027 [12][14].
中际旭创:一季度盈利能力环比改善,2025海外算力依旧保持旺盛需求-20250522
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:48
网络接配及塔设 中际旭创(300308.SZ) 买入-A(维持) 一季度盈利能力环比改善,2025 海外算力依旧保持旺盛需求 2025 年 5 月 22 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年公司实现营收 238.6 亿 元,同比增长 122.6%;实现归母净利润为 51.7 亿元,同比增长 137.9%。同 时,得益于 800G/400G 等高端产品出货比重的快速增加、产品结构不断优化 以及持续的降本增效,公司毛利率(33.8%)、净利率(22.5%)进一步得到 提升。 2025 年一季度,公司实现营收 66.7 亿元,同环比分别提升 37.8%、1.9%; 实现归母净利润 15.8 亿元,同环比分别提升 56.8%、11.6%。同时由于高端 产品占比提升以及成本降低、海外工厂良率提升等因素净利润率环比提升 2pct。 事件点评 分析师: 高宇洋 2025 一季度环比增速放缓不改全年积极展望,公司产能继续增长迎接 交付需求。2025 年一季度公司收入增长阶段性放缓主要由于 AI 大客户 800G 向 1.6T 切换以及 IB 市场 ...
紫光股份:并购费用影响短期利润,2025AI动能持续保持强劲-20250522
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [4][8]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 79.02 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 25.23% to 1.572 billion yuan [4][10]. - The company is experiencing a strong momentum in AI-related business, with significant growth in international operations and a focus on domestic AI server demand [6][8]. - The financial burden from the acquisition of a minority stake in Xinhua San has impacted short-term profits, but the company is optimizing its capital structure through a potential dual listing [5][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 79.02 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.572 billion yuan, reflecting a decline in profitability [4][10]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 20.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.25%, while the net profit was 349 million yuan, down 15.75% year-on-year [4][10]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 17.39%, influenced by changes in revenue structure and increased costs associated with AI server sales [5][10]. Business Growth and Market Position - The company’s revenue from the Xinhua San segment reached 55.074 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.04%, with international business growing by 32.44% [6][8]. - The company has expanded its global service coverage to 181 countries and regions, with over 2,900 certified overseas partners [6][8]. - The inventory value reached 43.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.82%, indicating strong demand for AI servers [7][10]. Profitability Forecast and Valuation Analysis - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.812 billion yuan, 2.450 billion yuan, and 3.164 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 15.3%, 35.2%, and 29.2% [8][10]. - The estimated P/E ratios for the upcoming years are 38.0 for 2025, 28.1 for 2026, and 21.8 for 2027, reflecting a positive outlook on earnings growth [10][12].
天孚通信:经营节奏保持稳健,大客户1.6T和CPO产品有望带来新动能-20250522
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:43
网络接配及塔设 天孚通信(300394.SZ) 买入-A(维持) 经营节奏保持稳健,大客户 1.6T 和 CPO 产品有望带来新动能 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年,公司实现营收 32.5 亿元,同比增长 67.7%;实现归母净利润 13.4 亿元,同比增长 84.1%;单 Q4 来看,公司实现营收 8.6 亿元,同环比分别增长 17.0%、2.2%;实现归母 净利 3.7 亿元,同环比分别增长 26.2%、13.9%。 2025 年一季度,公司经营节奏稳健。实现收入 9.5 亿元,同环比分别增长 29.1%、10.2%;实现归母净利润 3.4 亿元,同环比分别增长 21.1%、下降 8.0%。 事件点评 资料来源:最闻 分析师: 受大客户节奏影响,2024 下半年有源产品环比增长不大,但今年 1.6T 有望规模放量。2024 年,公司有源、无源产品线分别实现收入 16.6 亿元(同 比+121.9%)、15.8 亿元(同比+33.2%)。无源器件方面,2024 年随着 AI 数 通市场的爆发,FAU、MT-FA、AWG、隔离器、透镜等无源器件需求 ...
天孚通信(300394):经营节奏保持稳健,大客户1.6T和CPO产品有望带来新动能
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:38
网络接配及塔设 天孚通信(300394.SZ) 买入-A(维持) 经营节奏保持稳健,大客户 1.6T 和 CPO 产品有望带来新动能 2025 年 5 月 22 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年,公司实现营收 32.5 亿元,同比增长 67.7%;实现归母净利润 13.4 亿元,同比增长 84.1%;单 Q4 来看,公司实现营收 8.6 亿元,同环比分别增长 17.0%、2.2%;实现归母 净利 3.7 亿元,同环比分别增长 26.2%、13.9%。 2025 年一季度,公司经营节奏稳健。实现收入 9.5 亿元,同环比分别增长 29.1%、10.2%;实现归母净利润 3.4 亿元,同环比分别增长 21.1%、下降 8.0%。 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 22 日 收盘价(元): 76.45 事件点评 年内最高/最低(元): 149.88/57.11 流通A股/总股本(亿): 5.54/5.55 流通 A 股市值(亿): 423.60 总市值(亿): 424.52 基础数据:2025 年 3 月 31 日 基本每股收益(元) ...
盛达资源(000603):短中长期增长路线明晰,白银龙头布局黄金或迎量价齐升
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-22 09:32
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a clear growth trajectory in the short, medium, and long term, with potential for both volume and price increases in gold and silver [5][9]. Core Views - The dual catalysts of "interest rate cuts" and "Trump 2.0" are expected to sustain upward momentum in gold and silver prices. In the medium term, "Trump 2.0" may become the primary driver in the gold market during a 90-day tariff pause, with expectations of tariff increases, extended tax cuts, and "stagflation" providing strong support for rising gold prices. In the long term, these dual catalysts will continue to drive prices through 2025, supported by central bank reserves amid a backdrop of protectionism and great power competition [5][57][65]. - The company is a domestic leader in silver mining, having acquired several gold mining assets, which positions it well for future growth. As of the end of 2024, the company has identified approximately 12,000 tons of silver and 34 tons of gold, with an annual mining capacity nearing 2 million tons [6][15]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The company's closing price is 13.45 yuan, with a total market capitalization of approximately 9.28 billion yuan and a circulating market value of about 8.97 billion yuan. The debt-to-asset ratio stands at 45.60%, and the net asset value per share is 4.40 yuan [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.498 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 24.10%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 576 million yuan, reflecting a 47.74% increase. Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted at 0.84 yuan [7][9]. Growth Drivers - The company has a clear growth path for production from its upcoming mines, with several projects expected to come online between 2025 and 2027. Key projects include the Honglin Mining and Yindu Mining, which are anticipated to start production in 2025 and 2026, respectively [6][36][40]. - The company is actively pursuing resource acquisitions to enhance its growth potential, with plans to complete at least one acquisition project by 2025 [11][41]. Profitability and Performance Recovery - The company experienced a significant recovery in 2024, with a net profit of 390 million yuan, a 163.56% increase year-on-year, driven by the completion of technical upgrades at its subsidiaries and rising base metal prices. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 33.92% year-on-year [43][44]. Resource and Production Capacity - The company has a robust resource base with high-grade deposits, particularly in the Daxinganling region, which supports its strong profitability. The ongoing construction of new mines is expected to further enhance production capacity [27][30][33].
石英股份(603688):业绩环比改善,半导体石英认证提速
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:31
石英股份(603688.SH) 买入-A(首次) 2025 年 5 月 22 日 公司研究/公司快报 | 年 月 市场数据:2025 5 | 日 22 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价(元): | | 31.50 | | 年内最高/最低(元): | | 46.50/21.58 | | 流通A股/总股本(亿): | | 5.42/5.42 | | 流通 A 股市值(亿): | | 170.63 | | 总市值(亿): | | 170.63 | | 年 基础数据:2025 | 月 3 | 日 31 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 基本每股收益(元): | | | 0.10 | | 摊薄每股收益(元): | | | 0.10 | | 每股净资产(元): | | | 10.80 | | 净资产收益率(%): | | | 0.88 | 资料来源:最闻 肖索 执业登记编码:S0760522030006 邮箱:xiaosuo@sxzq.com 贾惠淋 执业登记编码:S0760523070001 邮箱:jiahuilin@sxzq.com 事件描述 2025 年 4 ...
紫光股份(000938):并购费用影响短期利润,2025AI动能持续保持强劲
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-B" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 79.02 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, but a decline in net profit by 25.23% to 1.572 billion yuan. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 22.25% year-on-year to 20.79 billion yuan, while net profit decreased by 15.75% to 349 million yuan [4][6] - The company is experiencing increased financial expenses due to the acquisition of a 30% minority stake in Xinhua San, which has led to a rise in the debt ratio to 82.8% [5][6] - The company is focusing on optimizing its capital structure through a dual listing in Hong Kong, which is expected to alleviate debt burdens [5][6] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 17.39%, influenced by the rising share of AI server revenue and changes in revenue structure [5] - The company’s revenue from Xinhua San reached 55.074 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.04%, with international business revenue growing by 32.44% [6][7] - The company’s inventory value reached 43.7 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 54.82%, indicating strong growth momentum in server revenue [7] Profit Forecast and Valuation Analysis - The company is expected to benefit from domestic computing power investments, with projected net profits of 1.812 billion yuan, 2.450 billion yuan, and 3.164 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting growth rates of 15.3%, 35.2%, and 29.2% [8][10] - The estimated revenue for 2025 is 89.081 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% [10] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 38.0 in 2025 to 21.8 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation outlook [12]
中际旭创(300308):一季度盈利能力环比改善,2025海外算力依旧保持旺盛需求
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:17
网络接配及塔设 中际旭创(300308.SZ) 买入-A(维持) 一季度盈利能力环比改善,2025 海外算力依旧保持旺盛需求 2025 年 5 月 22 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年公司实现营收 238.6 亿 元,同比增长 122.6%;实现归母净利润为 51.7 亿元,同比增长 137.9%。同 时,得益于 800G/400G 等高端产品出货比重的快速增加、产品结构不断优化 以及持续的降本增效,公司毛利率(33.8%)、净利率(22.5%)进一步得到 提升。 市场数据:2025 年 5 月 22 日 收盘价(元): 94.46 年内最高/最低(元): 185.83/67.20 2025 年一季度,公司实现营收 66.7 亿元,同环比分别提升 37.8%、1.9%; 实现归母净利润 15.8 亿元,同环比分别提升 56.8%、11.6%。同时由于高端 产品占比提升以及成本降低、海外工厂良率提升等因素净利润率环比提升 2pct。 流通A股/总股本(亿): 11.00/11.05 事件点评 流通 A 股市值(亿): 1,03 ...
德科立(688205):DCI需求旺盛,产能瓶颈有望逐渐缓解
Shanxi Securities· 2025-05-22 09:16
Investment Rating - The report adjusts the investment rating for the company to "Accumulate-A" [7] Core Views - The demand for DCI (Data Center Interconnect) is strong, and the capacity bottleneck is expected to gradually ease [4] - The company's revenue for 2024 is reported at 840 million, a slight increase of 2.8% year-on-year, with a notable growth in the data and access product line [1] - The company is experiencing a significant increase in demand for DCI subsystem products, with a revenue growth of 70% year-on-year in this segment [1] Financial Performance Summary - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 200 million, with a year-on-year decrease in net profit of 36.8% [2] - The gross margin for the company has declined to 27.2%, down 5.4 percentage points from the previous year, primarily due to changes in product mix and increased costs [3] - The company’s inventory value as of Q1 2025 is 420 million, reflecting a 21.6% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong order backlog [3] Market and Industry Insights - The North American DCI market is experiencing robust demand, driven by trends in localized deployment for large model distributed training and inference [4] - The company has competitive advantages in the DCI optical layer and subsystem electrical layer ODM, with a full range of DCI equipment developed and ready for commercial deployment [4] - Domestic investments in computing power are expected to support resilience in backbone network investments, with ongoing demand for 400G and 800G equipment [5][6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.25 billion, 1.81 billion, and 2.27 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 140 million, 220 million, and 290 million [7][9] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve gradually, reaching 31.7% in 2025 and stabilizing around 33.2% by 2027 [9][11]