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中宠股份(002891):自主品牌加速,盈利能力改善
招商证券· 2025-04-29 08:02
Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Strong Buy" [1][7]. Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue and net profit growth in Q1 2025, with revenue increasing by 25.4% and net profit by 62.1% year-on-year. The domestic brand momentum is on the rise, particularly with the "Wang Pi Xiao Jin Dun" high-fresh meat cat food, which is expected to gain market share in the mid-to-high-end cat food segment [1][6][7]. - The overseas factories have sufficient orders, and the second phase of production in Canada and the United States is expected to support North American demand, further enhancing the global supply chain layout [1][7]. - The company is expected to maintain good profitability due to low-cost structures and high capacity utilization in overseas factories, despite a slight increase in expenses due to higher marketing investments [1][6][7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.465 billion, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, and a net profit of 394 million, up 68.9% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.276 billion, a 23.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 112 million, up 98.2% year-on-year [6][9]. - The company's gross margin improved by 1.9 percentage points year-on-year in 2024, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin staple food products and structural optimization [6][9]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 31.9%, an increase of 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 8.3%, up 1.9 percentage points year-on-year [6][9]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 1.59 and 1.88 yuan, respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 34x for 2025 [1][7][8]. - The company is expected to maintain a high single-digit profit margin throughout the year, benefiting from the acceleration of domestic brand market share [1][7]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - The company has a total market capitalization of 15.8 billion yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 16.8% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 40% [2][6]. - The major shareholder is Yantai Zhongxing Biotechnology Co., Ltd., holding a 24.8% stake in the company [2].
赛轮轮胎:24年净利增长,全球竞争力持续提升-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:00
证券研究报告 赛轮轮胎 (601058 CH) 24 年净利增长,全球竞争力持续提升 | | | 公司发布 24 年年报与 25 年一季报,全年实现营收 318 亿元,yoy+22%, 归母净利 41 亿元(扣非后 40 亿元),yoy+31%(扣非后 yoy+27%);Q4 营收 82 亿元,同环比+17%/-4%,归母净利 8 亿元,同环比-23%/-25%。 25Q1 公司实现营收 84 亿元,同环比+15%/+3%;实现归母净利润 10 亿元, 同环比+0.5%/+27%,公司 25Q1 净利略低于我们前瞻预期(11 亿元),主 要是受原材料成本高位影响。2024 年公司股利支付率 31%, 25 年计划实 施中期分红;公司实控人及一致行动人计划增持公司股份 5-10 亿元。考虑 美国加征关税,短期公司业绩或受一定影响,下调盈利预测;但长期伴随公 司增量产能投放,以及全球同等加税下,公司有望凭借性价比优势提升在美 份额,公司全球竞争力有望持续增强。维持"买入"评级。 24 年产销再创新高,业绩稳健增长 2024 年伴随公司新增产能放量、海外市场需求恢复、以及国内市场持续开 拓,全年轮胎产销再创新高。2 ...
安井食品:24年盈利韧性凸显,期待旺季表现-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:00
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 103.86 RMB [7][8] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong earnings resilience in 2024, with revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 15.13 billion, 1.48 billion, and 1.36 billion RMB respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 7.7%, 0.5%, and a slight decline of 0.5% [1][4] - The company is focusing on internal improvements during the off-season to prepare for the peak season, as competition in the frozen food industry has eased compared to the second half of 2024 [1][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from frozen noodles, prepared foods, and dishes was 2.46 billion, 7.84 billion, and 4.35 billion RMB, showing a year-on-year change of -3.1%, +11.4%, and +10.8% respectively [2] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 23.3%, with a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 9.8% [3] Strategic Developments - The company is advancing its strategic products, such as the "lock-fresh" packaging, which generated over 1.5 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, marking an increase of over 18% year-on-year [2] - The company plans to enhance its relationships with major supermarkets like Yonghui and Walmart in 2025, aiming for customized offerings [2] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 5.47 RMB and 6.05 RMB, respectively, with an introduction of a 2027 EPS forecast of 6.88 RMB [4][6] - The company’s estimated revenue for 2025 is 16.16 billion RMB, reflecting a growth rate of 6.83% [6]
四维图新:业绩同比减亏,受益于智驾平权趋势-20250429
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 08:00
证券研究报告 四维图新 (002405 CH) 业绩同比减亏,受益于智驾平权趋势 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 28 日│中国内地 | 计算机应用 | 公司发布年报与一季报,24 年实现营收 35.18 亿元(yoy+12.68%);归母 净利-10.95 亿元,亏损同比收窄 16.68%;扣非净利-11.18 亿元,亏损同比 收窄 21.69%。净利润低于前次预期(-6.58 亿元),主要系公司投资亏损影 响。25Q1 实现营收 7.56 亿元(yoy+6.87%、qoq-23.62%),归母净利-1.52 亿元,亏损同比收窄 10.18%,环比收窄 74.91%。看好公司智驾市场份额 不断提升,预计公司亏损将持续收窄,给予"买入"。 智云业务持续增长,智舱智驾短期承压 分业务看,24 年智云业务收入 22.54 亿元,同增 28.96%,主因公司深耕数 据合规领域,紧抓车路云一体化发展契机,中标多个北京试点项目,运营项 目持续增长;智芯业务收入 5.66 亿元,同增 10.92%,SoC 芯片出货量达 到 86 ...
移远通信(603236):Q1业绩高增长,盈利能力向好
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company experienced significant growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 52 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 32%, and a net profit of 2.1 billion RMB, reflecting a 287% increase [1] - The company is positioned as a leading global IoT module manufacturer, expected to benefit from a recovery in industry demand and long-term opportunities from edge/endpoint AI development [1][5] - The revenue from the module and antenna business in 2024 was 184 billion RMB, up 34% year-on-year, with both domestic and international markets showing strong performance [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue was 186 billion RMB, a 34% increase year-on-year, and the net profit was 5.9 billion RMB, up 548% [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for 2024 was 17.6%, a slight decline of 1.3 percentage points, primarily due to increased orders from overseas strategic clients [3] - The company effectively controlled expenses, with sales, management, and R&D expense ratios decreasing year-on-year [3] Market Outlook - The IoT module market is expected to stabilize and improve as downstream demand recovers, with high-speed products like 5G cellular modules poised for growth in the AI era [4] - Long-term, the transition of AI computing capabilities to the edge is anticipated to enhance the value of IoT modules, shifting their role from "transmission" to "transmission + computation" [4] Valuation and Forecast - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upward, with projected net profits of 8.01 billion RMB, 9.59 billion RMB, and 11.28 billion RMB respectively [5] - The target price for the company is set at 91.79 RMB, based on a 30x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position in the IoT module market [5]
良品铺子(603719):性价比趋势、量贩分流致经营承压
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:56
证券研究报告 良品铺子 (603719 CH) 性价比趋势/量贩分流致经营承压 | 华泰研究 | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 食品 | 考虑消费环境复苏偏弱、量贩分流影响持续,导致公司经营调整时间较长、 幅度较大,我们下调盈利预测,预计 25-26 年 EPS 0.02/0.26 元(前次 0.36/0.41 元),引入 27 年 EPS 0.42 元,考虑调整成果在 26 年能有更好体 现,参考可比公司 26 年平均 PE 54x,给予其 26 年 54xPE,目标价 14.04 元(前次 11.52 元,对应 24 年 36x PE),"增持"。 风险提示:行业竞争加剧,宏观经济表现不及预期,食品安全问题。 公司 24 年实现营收 71.6 亿,同比-11.0%,归母净利/扣非净利-0.5/-0.7 亿, (23 年为 1.8/0.7 亿);对应 24Q4 实现营收 16.8 亿,同比-18.0%,归母净 利/扣非净利-0.7/-0.7 亿(23Q4 为-0.1/-0.6 亿),低于我们前次盈利预测(预 计 24 年收入/ ...
迈克生物(300463):主业收入平稳增长,仪器装机积极提升
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:56
证券研究报告 迈克生物 (300463 CH) 主业收入平稳增长,仪器装机积极提升 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 医疗器械 | 公司 24 年实现收入/归母净利/扣非归母净利 25.49/1.27/1.38 亿元 (yoy-12.0%/-59.4%/-56.2%),符合业绩预告预期。公司 24 年业绩下滑主 因行业政策短期扰动、公司代理业务持续调整,叠加公司计提商誉减值。公 司 24 年自主产品收入 19.13 亿元(yoy+1.8%),核心主业收入平稳增长。 公 司 1Q25 实 现收入 /归母净利 /扣 非归母净 利 5.10/0.24/0.40 亿 元 (yoy-17.2%/-80.1%/-66.2%),公司 1Q25 业绩下滑主因公司行业政策短期 扰动、公司持续推进直销转分销工作,叠加积极强化销售推广投入。考虑公 司持续调整产品结构及销售模式,叠加国内外市场推广持续加强,看好公司 核心自主业务持续提升竞争力并实现中长期向好发展。维持"买入"。 化学发光:24 年收入稳健增长,看好 2 ...
苏博特(603916):24营收显韧性,1Q盈利修复进行时
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:56
证券研究报告 苏博特 (603916 CH) 24 营收显韧性,1Q 盈利修复进行时 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 专用材料 | 苏博特发布年报,2024 年实现营收 35.55 亿元(yoy-0.75%),归母净利 9588.11 万元(yoy-40.24%),全年盈利略低于我们此前预期(1.15 亿元), 我们认为主因减值略高于我们此前预计。其中 Q4 实现营收 10.80 亿元 (yoy+7.33%,qoq+18.36%),归母净利 1727.38 万元(yoy-9.01%, qoq-31.77%)。1Q25 公司实现收入 6.82 亿元((yoy+17.81%),实现归母 净利 2432.83 万元(yoy+15.36%),公司收入增速修复,考虑到外部关税 不确定性扰动下,基建投资或有加码推动公司产品需求好转,维持"买入"。 考虑到公司转型具备成效,下游基建占比或提升,25 年专项债发行加速、 重大项目落地,或推动公司产品需求向好,产能利用率修复有望带动盈利能 力提升,调整公司 25 ...
美格智能(002881):Q1收入创历史新高,费用管控良好
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:56
证券研究报告 美格智能 (002881 CH) Q1 收入创历史新高,费用管控良好 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 通信设备制造 | 根据公司 2024 年年报与 2025 年一季报,2024 年公司营收为 29.41 亿元, 同比增长 37%;归母净利润为 1.36 亿元,同比增长 110%。1Q25 公司营 收为 9.97 亿元,创单季度营收历史新高,同比增长 74%;归母净利润为 0.46 亿元,符合此前业绩预告(0.4~0.52 亿元),同比增长 616%。展望未来, 我们看好公司 FWA、车载以及端侧 AI 等领域发展机遇,维持"增持"评级。 2024 年公司境内外业务齐头并进 分产品来看,2024 年公司无线通信模组及解决方案业务营收为 28.08 亿元, 同比增长 37%,其中智能网联车领域营收保持高速增长态势;其他业务营 收为 1.32 亿元,同比增长 35%;分地区来看,2024 年公司境内收入为 21.38 亿元,同比增长 43%,主要受益于智能网联车、端侧 AI 应用等各 ...
森马服饰(002563):1Q25业绩短期承压,扩店提效可期
华泰证券· 2025-04-29 07:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 7.50 RMB [7][8]. Core Views - The company reported a 2024 annual revenue of 14.63 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, and a net profit of 1.14 billion RMB, up 1.4% year-on-year, exceeding previous expectations due to effective channel adjustments [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company experienced a revenue of 3.08 billion RMB, a decrease of 1.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 210 million RMB, down 38.1% year-on-year, indicating short-term performance pressure but long-term value potential remains optimistic [1][5]. - The company is focusing on channel optimization and enhancing store efficiency, which is expected to lay a solid foundation for long-term development [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for 2024 decreased by 0.2 percentage points to 43.8%, primarily due to increased sales and financial expense ratios from channel layout adjustments [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 dropped by 4.9 percentage points to 6.9% [3]. Inventory and Operational Efficiency - As of the end of 2024, the company's inventory was 3.481 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, with inventory turnover days increasing to 188 days in Q1 2025, up 45 days year-on-year [4]. - Accounts receivable turnover days also increased, indicating a slight short-term pressure on operational efficiency [4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 1.29 billion RMB for 2025 and 1.48 billion RMB for 2026, with an introduction of a 2027 forecast of 1.74 billion RMB [5][6]. - The report suggests a PE ratio of 15.7 for 2025, reflecting the company's position as a leading brand in children's clothing and casual wear despite short-term operational pressures [5].