Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 16.47 [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 16.82 billion for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.84%, and a net profit of RMB 1.05 billion, up 7.75% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, total revenue grew by 10.36% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 43.02% year-on-year. The performance for 2024 met expectations [1][2] - The company is a leader in small appliance exports, benefiting from strong demand in Q1 2025, although potential challenges from increased tariffs in the U.S. may impact Q2 performance. The company has significant experience in product planning, industrial design, and rapid production, indicating resilience in long-term export sales [1][3] - The domestic sales faced challenges, with a revenue decline of 4.5% in 2024 and a further decline of 4.9% in Q1 2025. The main brands are less sensitive to the new replacement subsidy policies, leading to a slower recovery compared to the industry [2] - The company's export growth was strong in 2024, with quarterly growth rates of 29.7%, 25.1%, 20.3%, and 14.1% respectively. However, the growth rate is expected to face pressure in Q2 2025 due to increased tariffs imposed by the U.S. [3][5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 20.91%, a decrease of 1.82 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a higher proportion of low-margin exports. The gross margin improved to 22.42% in Q1 2025 [4] - The company has initiated a share buyback and declared a dividend of RMB 0.45 per share, enhancing shareholder returns [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 17.69 billion, RMB 18.89 billion, and RMB 20.15 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 5.16%, 6.78%, and 6.70% [10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 1.43, RMB 1.57, and RMB 1.75 respectively [10] - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for comparable companies is projected at 15x for 2025, while the company is assigned a PE of 11.5x, leading to a revised target price of RMB 16.47 [5]

证券研究报告 口子窖 (603589 CH) 基地市场稳固，Q1 实现稳增 期待后续公司经营改善，维持"增持"评级 考虑行业需求较为平淡、公司改革成效显现仍需要一段时间，我们下调盈利 预测，预计 25-26 年 EPS 2.87/3.03 元（较前次-5%/-5%），引入 27 年 EPS 3.21 元，参考可比公司 25 年平均 PE 15x（Wind 一致预期），给予其 25 年 15xPE，给予目标价 43.05 元（前次 48.48 元，对应 25 年 16xPE，前次可 比公司 25 年平均 16xPE 均值），维持"增持"。 风险提示：行业竞争加剧、宏观经济表现低于预期、食品安全问题。 经营预测指标与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 (人民币百万) | 5,962 | 6,015 | 6,196 | 6,543 | 6,918 | | +/-% | 16.10 | 0.89 | 3.01 | 5.60 | 5.73 | | 归属母公司净利润 ( ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 27.04 RMB [8][11]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 64.65 billion RMB in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.60% [7]. - The company maintains a strong order backlog, with a total of 506.97 billion RMB in hand orders by the end of 2024, indicating robust business development [4]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the construction of new power systems, leading to sustained and stable growth in performance [1]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 57.42 billion RMB, an increase of 11.33% year-on-year, and a net profit of 7.61 billion RMB, up 5.94% year-on-year [7]. - The gross and net profit margins for 2024 are projected to be 26.66% and 14.19%, respectively, indicating stable profitability [2]. Business Segments Performance - The revenue from the smart grid, digital energy integration, and low-carbon energy segments for 2024 is expected to be 28.47 billion RMB, 12.37 billion RMB, and 12.19 billion RMB, respectively, with growth rates of 10.70%, 11.05%, and 26.43% [3]. - The industrial interconnection segment is experiencing a decline, with a revenue drop of 9.51% [3]. Financial Forecasts - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 8.33 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 9.59% from previous estimates due to potential impacts from changes in the renewable energy policy [5]. - The company’s PE ratio for 2025 is estimated at 22.27 times, with a target price based on this valuation [5][23].

中科创达 (300496 CH) 端侧 AI 布局持续深化 | 华泰研究 | | | 季报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 计算机应用 | 证券研究报告 中科创达公布 25 年一季报，25 年 Q1 实现营收 14.69 亿元（yoy+24.69%、 qoq-13.10%），归母净利 9257 万元（yoy+2.00%、qoq-63.77%），扣非净 利 8752 万元（yoy+2.48%、qoq+80.87%）。公司深度受益于端侧 AI 浪潮， 看好其在端侧智能领域的深度布局，维持"买入"。 把握整车操作系统智能化机遇 公司在智能汽车场景有着良好的业务基础，2025 年 4 月上海车展上，中科 创达正式发布面向中央计算的 AI 原生整车操作系统滴水 OS 1.0 Evo，通过 深度融合 AI 大模型技术，它赋予汽车自主交互决策能力，在中央计算层面， 系统采用舱驾融合+ZCU 虚拟化平台支持多域融合与算力高效调度，为整车 智能化奠定技术底座。随着中央计算架构普及与大模型上车成为行业共识， 公司智能汽车业务收入增速有望重回高增 ...

证券研究报告：有色金属 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-04-29 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 26.68 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）19.00 | / 16.64 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）507 | / 444 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 31.30 / 15.61 | | 资产负债率(%) | 47.3% | | 市盈率 | 24.93 | | 第一大股东 | 李金阳 | 研究所 分析师:李帅华 SAC 登记编号:S1340522060001 Email:lishuaihua@cnpsec.com 研究助理:杨丰源 SAC 登记编号:S1340124050015 Email:yangfengyuan@cnpsec.com 赤峰黄金(600988) 25 年一季报点评：静待瓦萨成本企稳，金价上行 公司业绩释放有望加速 l 25 年 Q1 归母净利润 4.83 亿元，同比+141% 公司发布 2025 年一季报，受益黄金价格同比大幅上行，公司业 绩释放出色：营业收入 24.07 亿元，同比增长 3 ...

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 | 增持（维持） | | | --- | --- | | 股票信息 | | | 行业 | 普钢 | | 前次评级 | 增持 | | 04 月 28 日收盘价（元） | 3.38 | | 总市值（百万元） | 13,395.56 | | 总股本（百万股） | 3,963.18 | | 其中自由流通股（%） | 98.24 | | 30 日日均成交量（百万股） | 29.84 | 新兴铸管（000778.SZ） 季度业绩环比改善，关注基建需求潜力 事件：公司发布 2025 年一季度报告。公司一季度实现营业收入 83.75 亿 元，同比下降 8.21%；归属于母公司所有者的净利润 1.37 亿元，同比下 降 19.84%；基本每股收益 0.0345 元，同比减少 19.39%。 季度业绩环比改善，一季度毛利率逐步修复。公司 2025Q1 实现归母净利 1.37 亿元，同比下降 19.84%，环比增长 143.36%；2025Q1 钢价走弱， 行业钢企盈利比例位于 50%左右，公司归母净利同比仍下滑，但环比显著 改善，2025Q1 ...

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 常宝股份（002478.SZ） 特材项目有序推进，持续结构转型升级。公司目前具备 100 万吨特种专用 管材生产能力，在油管、小口径合金高压锅炉管、HRSG 超长管、石化热 交换器用 U 型管等细分行业中的市场占有率和品牌竞争优势明显；公司特 材项目有序推进，高端合金管线、超长精密管主线、洁净光亮管主线陆续 进入试生产调试阶段，热挤压线预计 2025 年 7 月启动调试，为正式投产 奠定基础；精密管项目取得阶段性进展，热处理线、冷拔线、精整探伤线 进入生产调试；焊管生产线计划预计 2025 年 8 月底进行安装调试阶段； 随着特材项目持续投产，公司盈利能力或显著改善。 下游景气度改善，需求保持扩张趋势。根据公司年报，2025 年预计油气开 采用管市场将呈现总量稳定、结构优化、高端化提速等特点，国内市场方 面预计在海上、陆上深层、超深层等非常规油气资源开发方面可能会存在 更多增量的市场需求；2024 年火电投资完成额为 1588 亿元，同比增加 32.7%，预计 2025 年锅炉管市场需求持续饱满，火电建设投资高增有望 带动 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.35 billion yuan and a net profit of 760 million yuan for Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 12% in revenue but a slight decline of 3% in net profit [1]. - The company is expected to see a revenue growth of over 15% in 2025, driven by new customer orders and an increase in production capacity [2][4]. - The company is currently in a phase of expanding its production capacity, which is anticipated to enhance its international presence and operational efficiency in the medium to long term [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 22.9%, down 5.5 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the ramp-up of new factories [1]. - The company’s net profit margin decreased by 2.3 percentage points to 14.3% in Q1 2025 [1]. Customer Orders and Market Position - The company has maintained strong relationships with major brands like Nike and Adidas, with expectations of stable orders from existing clients and significant growth from new clients [2]. - The company’s new collaboration with Adidas is expected to contribute to rapid order growth in 2025 [2]. Production Capacity and Efficiency - The company plans to expand its production capacity significantly, with a total capacity of 229 million pairs and a utilization rate of 97% expected in 2024 [3]. - The company is focusing on improving operational efficiency through training and automation, which is expected to enhance gross margins in the upcoming quarters [3]. Cash Flow and Inventory Management - As of Q1 2025, the company reported a 12.5% increase in inventory year-on-year, with inventory turnover days decreasing by 5.1 days to 74.1 days [4]. - The net operating cash flow for Q1 2025 was 1.21 billion yuan, approximately 1.6 times the net profit for the same period [4].

证券研究报告 | 年报点评报告 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 风险提示：商誉减值风险、PPP 项目减值风险、国产品牌渗透力度不及预 期风险、核心零部件进口风险、应收账款减值风险。 | 财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 3,182 | 3,614 | 4,118 | 4,715 | 5,423 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | -7.8 | 13.6 | 14.0 | 14.5 | 15.0 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -323 | 207 | 341 | 478 | 673 | | 增长率 yoy（%） | 13.9 | 164.1 | 65.0 | 40.1 | 40.8 | | EPS 最新摊薄（元/股） | -0.72 | 0.46 | 0.76 | 1.07 | 1.50 | | 净资产收益率（%） | -12.2 | 6.7 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 15.5 | | P/E（倍） | -30.5 ...

证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 29 年 月 日 瑞丰银行（601528.SH） 息差降幅明显收窄，拨备进一步夯实 事件：瑞丰银行披露 2025 年一季报，2025 年一季度实现营收 11.1 亿元， 同比增长 5.12%，归母净利润 4.2 亿元，同比增长 6.69%。2025Q1 末不 良率、拨备覆盖率分别为 0.97%、326.08%，较上年末分别持平、提升 5.2pc。 1、业绩表现：息差降幅同比收窄 25Q1 年营业收入、归母净利润增速分别为 5.12%、6.69%，分别较 24A 下降 10.2pc、下降 4.6pc，其中息差同比降幅收窄、业务成本节约等对业 绩形成正向贡献，具体来看： 1）利息净收入：同比增长 2.68%，较 24A 增速提升 4.3pc，25Q1 净息差 为 1.46%，较 24A 下降 4bps（24Q1 下降 13bps），息差同比降幅明显收 窄，主要得益于计息负债成本改善，其中生息资产收益率、计息负债成本 率分别下降 11bps、下降 7bps。 2）其他非息收入：同比增长 11.43%，较 24A 增速有所下降，其中投资 净收益同比 ...