高工锂电·2025-02-26 11:16Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery industry is experiencing significant changes as foreign car manufacturers accelerate their electrification efforts in response to the rapid growth of China's new energy vehicle market and the increasing market share of domestic brands [1][2][10]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The market share of domestic brands in China's new energy vehicle sector is projected to reach 54% by January 2025, while mainstream joint venture brands only account for 2% [2]. - Sales of foreign brands in China are declining, with Volkswagen's sales expected to drop by 9.5% in 2024 compared to 2023, and BMW's deliveries down by 13% [2]. - Traditional foreign brands are losing ground in their historically strong markets, with Honda's sales hitting a nearly ten-year low, down 31% year-on-year [2]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - Foreign car manufacturers are increasingly adopting new battery technologies, shifting from conservative lithium-ion battery strategies to more cost-effective lithium iron phosphate batteries and exploring advanced technologies like large cylindrical batteries and solid-state batteries [5][10]. - BMW and Mercedes-Benz are focusing on next-generation battery technologies, with BMW set to mass-produce large cylindrical batteries and Mercedes-Benz testing high-energy density solid-state batteries [1][10]. Group 3: New Business Models - A new business model of "China R&D, global sales" is emerging, with foreign manufacturers establishing China as a key R&D and export hub [6][7]. - Companies like Kia and Ford are planning to leverage their Chinese operations to expand into overseas markets, highlighting the advantages of China's mature and efficient new energy vehicle supply chain [7]. Group 4: Industry Chain Integration - Foreign car manufacturers are deepening their involvement in the lithium battery industry chain, moving beyond strategic investments in battery companies to comprehensive industry chain penetration [8][9]. - Companies like BMW and Toyota are venturing into battery material recycling, while Volkswagen is expanding collaborations in fast-charging networks and battery recycling with local firms [9]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The renewed focus on electrification by foreign car manufacturers is expected to intensify competition in the lithium battery industry, leading to technological innovations and industry upgrades [10]. - The entry of stronger traditional car manufacturers into the electrification competition may trigger a new round of market power struggles, complicating the competitive landscape in the lithium battery sector [10].