【钢铁】进口铁矿石现货周均价格回落近4%——金属周期品高频数据周报（2025.2.24-3.2）（王招华/戴默）

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the current trends in various sectors, including liquidity, infrastructure, real estate, industrial products, and export chains, providing insights into price movements, production levels, and economic indicators. Group 1: Liquidity - The London gold spot price decreased by 2.66% week-on-week [2] - The BCI small enterprise financing environment index for February 2025 is at 46.65, down 0.86% from the previous month [2] - The M1 and M2 growth rate difference was -6.6 percentage points in January 2025, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5 percentage points [2] Group 2: Infrastructure and Real Estate Chain - In mid-February, the average daily crude steel output of key enterprises reached a six-month high of 2.13 million tons [3] - Price changes for key materials include rebar down 2.65%, cement price index down 0.01%, rubber down 1.73%, coke down 3.60%, coking coal down 1.64%, and iron ore down 3.59% [3] - The national blast furnace capacity utilization rate increased by 0.17 percentage points, while the cement and asphalt operating rates changed by +1.00 percentage points and -2.3 percentage points, respectively [3] Group 3: Real Estate Completion Chain - The prices of titanium dioxide and flat glass changed by +1.38% and -0.74% respectively, with flat glass gross profit at 36 yuan/ton and titanium dioxide at -1015 yuan/ton [4] - The operating rate for flat glass this week remained stable at 76.09% [4] Group 4: Industrial Products Chain - The PMI new orders index for February is at 51.10%, an increase of 1.9 percentage points month-on-month [5] - Major commodity prices showed mixed results, with cold-rolled steel up 0.06%, copper down 0.80%, and aluminum down 1.01% [5] - The national semi-steel tire operating rate is at 82.51%, up 2.16 percentage points [5] Group 5: Subcategories - Iron ore prices have retreated from a seven-month high [6] - The price of graphite electrodes is stable at 18,000 yuan/ton, while electrolytic aluminum is at 20,620 yuan/ton, down 1.01% [6] - The price of tungsten concentrate is at 142,500 yuan/ton, down 0.70% from last week [6] Group 6: Price Comparison Relationships - The price ratio of rebar to iron ore is 4.03 this week [7] - The price difference between hot-rolled and rebar steel is 170 yuan/ton, while the price difference between Shanghai cold-rolled and hot-rolled steel is 620 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [7] - The price difference between盘螺 (mainly used in real estate) and rebar (mainly used in infrastructure) is 290 yuan/ton, up 11.54% from last week [7] Group 7: Export Chain - The new export orders PMI for China in February 2025 is at 48.60%, an increase of 2.2 percentage points [9] - The CCFI comprehensive index for container shipping rates is at 1250.65 points, down 5.16% [9] - The U.S. crude steel capacity utilization rate is at 74.50%, down 0.50 percentage points [9] Group 8: Valuation Percentiles - The CSI 300 index decreased by 2.22%, with the best-performing cyclical sector being ordinary steel, which increased by 5.34% [10] - The PB ratio of ordinary steel and industrial metals relative to the CSI 300 PB is 38.89% and 58.02%, respectively [10] - The current PB ratio of the ordinary steel sector relative to the CSI 300 PB is 0.54, with the highest value since 2013 being 0.82 [10]