中国宏观经济研究院院长黄汉权：以新质生产力为驱动的发展态势在形成，稳住楼市股市有助于提振消费

Core Viewpoint - The government aims for a GDP growth target of around 5% for 2025, emphasizing the need for stable employment, risk prevention, and improving people's livelihoods, supported by economic growth potential and favorable conditions [1][6]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Conditions - The economic growth target of 5% for 2025 is supported by several favorable conditions, including more proactive macroeconomic policies, particularly in fiscal and monetary areas [6][10]. - The government plans to increase the scale of new government debt to 11.86 trillion yuan, a rise of 2.9 trillion yuan from the previous year, which will positively impact investment and consumption [6][10]. - The balance of contributions from exports, investment, and consumption to economic growth is noted, with significant advancements in strategic emerging industries driven by technological innovation [5][6]. Group 2: Fiscal and Monetary Policies - The fiscal policy will see a deficit rate increase to around 4%, with a total deficit scale of 5.66 trillion yuan, marking a nearly 40% increase from last year [10]. - The monetary policy will be more accommodative, maintaining ample liquidity and supporting sectors like technology innovation and consumption [10][11]. Group 3: Consumption and Investment - To boost consumption, the government will implement special actions, including increasing income for low- and middle-income groups and stabilizing asset values in real estate and stock markets [11][12]. - Investment efficiency will be improved by selecting key projects for government investment and encouraging private sector participation in infrastructure projects [12][14]. Group 4: Key Industries and Reforms - Focus areas for new quality productivity include digital economy, green economy, life sciences, and low-altitude economy, with significant technological breakthroughs expected [15][16]. - Key reforms to be pushed include enhancing the vitality of business entities, accelerating the construction of a unified national market, and deepening fiscal and tax reforms to increase local financial autonomy [17][18].