Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent downturn in the U.S. stock market, attributing it to President Trump's tariff policies and the resulting economic uncertainty, which has led to fears of a potential recession [4][5][6]. Market Performance - As of March 11, major U.S. stock indices continued to decline, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 down over 1%, and the Nasdaq down 0.73% [1][2]. - Notable tech stocks like Tesla, Amazon, and Apple experienced varying degrees of decline, with Tesla initially rising over 6% before closing at a 1.87% increase [2][3]. Economic Indicators - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose nearly 2%, indicating strength in Chinese stocks, with individual companies like Zeekr and Xpeng showing significant gains [2][3]. - Concerns about the U.S. economy are reflected in consumer sentiment, with 27.4% of respondents in a recent survey expecting their financial situation to worsen, the highest level in 15 months [10][11]. Tariff Policies and Economic Impact - Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports from Canada has raised the total tariff level to 50%, effective March 12 [3]. - The new tariffs are expected to increase inflation, reduce consumer purchasing power, and tighten financial conditions, leading to a potential slowdown in economic growth [12]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts express mixed views on the market's future, with some suggesting that the current fear-driven environment may present buying opportunities, while others warn of a potential recession [14][15]. - The S&P 500 index has retraced 8.7% from its recent peak, and the Nasdaq has dropped nearly 14%, indicating significant market volatility [6][7]. Analyst Predictions - Goldman Sachs has revised its GDP growth forecast for the U.S. down to 1.7% for 2025, reflecting concerns over the impact of tariff policies [11][12]. - The likelihood of a recession has increased, with former Treasury Secretary Summers estimating a near 50% chance, while other analysts suggest a 25-30% probability [13].
今晚,美股继续跳水!中概股大涨!
21世纪经济报道·2025-03-11 15:27