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电子|一张图汇总部分上市公司25Q1业绩前瞻
中信证券研究·2025-03-19 00:36

Core Viewpoint - The overall performance of the electronic industry in Q1 2025 is expected to show normal growth under seasonal demand, with strong demand in computing-related downstream sectors, a recovery in automotive demand, stable consumer electronics demand, and a favorable outlook for advanced semiconductor manufacturing [1][2]. Group 1: Q1 2025 Performance Outlook - The electronic industry is projected to experience normal growth in Q1 2025, driven by strong demand in computing-related sectors, a recovery in automotive demand, and stable consumer electronics demand [2]. - Key segments expected to perform well include computing-related PCBs, leading companies in the Apple supply chain, IoT leaders, CIS, equipment leaders, panel leaders, and advanced packaging [2][3]. Group 2: Consumer Electronics Sector - In the consumer electronics sector, the overall impact of national subsidies is limited, with Apple demand remaining stable and Android performance being relatively flat due to high base effects [3]. - For Q1 2025, Apple smartphone shipments are expected to increase by 2% year-on-year to 51 million units, while Android smartphone shipments are projected to rise by 3% to 247 million units [3]. - The IoT sector is anticipated to see steady growth, with companies like Anker and Edifier expected to perform well [3]. Group 3: Semiconductor Sector - The semiconductor sector is expected to see slight year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, supported by national subsidies, automotive demand, and localized production [4]. - The manufacturing and testing segments are projected to perform well, with full production capacity in 12-inch fabs and a supply-demand imbalance in advanced processes [4]. - Orders for advanced storage and logic chips are expected to gradually materialize, leading to better-than-expected overall performance [4]. Group 4: Electronic Components Sector - The PCB sector is expected to maintain year-on-year revenue growth due to sustained demand from AI and automotive sectors [5]. - The panel sector is projected to see strong demand driven by home appliance subsidies, with LCD panel profitability improving and OLEDs expected to turn profitable [5]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - Looking ahead to Q2 2025, the electronic sector is expected to perform well, with a focus on strong Q1 earnings and clear themes, particularly in domestic self-reliance and AI innovation [7]. - The advanced manufacturing supply chain is recommended for investment, with a focus on semiconductor equipment and AI IoT opportunities [7].