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机构研究周报:“新核心资产”蓄势,稳增长或需加力
Wind万得·2025-03-23 22:35

Core Viewpoints - The A-share and Hong Kong stock markets are seen as having strategic allocation value, particularly in high-end manufacturing, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and smart vehicles, referred to as "new core assets" [1][2] - The domestic economy is expected to experience marginal slowdown in the second quarter, with a focus on the allocation value of ultra-long bonds [1][16] Equity Market - CITIC Securities believes that A-share "new core assets" are gearing up for an upward trend, suggesting a focus on high-end manufacturing, AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and smart vehicles [2] - CITIC Jiantou emphasizes that "AI+" remains a core theme in the medium term, with the A-share market showing independent performance despite declines in the US market [3] - UBS predicts that the US stock market will underperform compared to European and emerging markets in the next 1-3 months, with risks of further declines in the S&P 500 index [4] Industry Research - Huashan Fund suggests a cautious approach to gold investments, emphasizing the need for rational investment strategies amid uncertain future market conditions [8][9] - Yinhua Fund highlights the promising prospects of the AI healthcare market, projecting a growth rate exceeding 25%, with the market size approaching 30 billion yuan by 2028 [10] - Zhonggeng Fund notes that the home appliance sector has seen significant gains, driven by government support for consumption and the integration of AI technologies [11] Macro and Fixed Income - Huaxia Fund indicates that the bond market's fluctuations are tied to the re-evaluation of economic recovery and policy rhythms, advocating for a diversified approach to bond investments [14] - Huashang Fund points out improvements in the supply-demand dynamics for convertible bonds, suggesting a defensive strategy while capturing structural opportunities [15] - Boshi Fund anticipates a marginal slowdown in the domestic economy in the second quarter, recommending a focus on the allocation value of ultra-long bonds [16] Asset Allocation - Fuguo Fund observes a shift from a "technology bull" market to a "consumption bull" market, driven by policy stimuli that encourage investment in consumer sectors [18]