【广发策略】如何看市场调整？深海科技会是下一个低空经济吗？

Market Adjustment - The article discusses the recent market adjustment, indicating that the convergence of style gaps can occur through either lagging styles catching up or leading styles declining, with the current situation reflecting a strong market state [1][13] - Historical data shows that from October 2013 to December 2013, growth styles were dominant, while consumer styles took over in the same period in 2014, indicating a cyclical nature of market styles [2][14] Calendar Effects - The article highlights the strong seasonal patterns observed in small-cap indices during the first half of the year, noting that adjustments typically occur from December to January to avoid risks associated with annual report forecasts [3][15] - Post-Spring Festival, there is over a 90% probability of an upward trend leading into the Two Sessions, driven by the release of annual report forecasts and the resolution of overseas uncertainties [4][5] TMT Sector Insights - The TMT sector's crowdedness is analyzed, suggesting that a drop in sentiment to around 31% from a peak of 44.6% in February could present a good re-entry point for investments [9][17] - The article recommends continued investment in technology sectors, particularly those with potential for quick order fulfillment and strong fundamentals, such as CSP manufacturers and military electronics [10][18] Deep Sea Technology - The inclusion of "deep sea technology" in the government work report marks a significant policy shift, positioning it alongside commercial aerospace and low-altitude economy, indicating its growing importance [11][19] - Deep sea technology encompasses various sectors, including safety assurance, resource development, and scientific research, with a focus on high-tech materials and equipment suitable for deep-sea conditions [21][22] Comparison with Low Altitude Economy - The article draws parallels between the current deep sea technology trend and the previous low altitude economy surge, suggesting that strong policy support could drive similar market movements [25][29] - Historical performance of low altitude economy stocks shows significant price increases, indicating potential for deep sea technology stocks to follow suit [30][32]