美国的改变与中国的应变

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the fundamental changes in the perception of the United States globally and in relation to China, particularly under the leadership of Donald Trump, highlighting a shift from a positive to a negative image [3][4][10]. Group 1: Impact of Trump's Policies - Trump's administration has caused significant disruptions to international order and alliances, leading to confusion among allies [3][4]. - The stock market has reacted negatively, with the average decline of the "seven giants" on Wall Street being 15% this year, marking the lowest valuation since 2017 [4][6]. - Economic recession risks are rising, with Moody's chief economist indicating that Trump's tariff plans could push the economy into recession if implemented [6][21]. Group 2: Domestic and Foreign Policy Changes - Trump has focused on reducing federal bureaucracy and regulations, claiming they hinder American development [9]. - His foreign policy is characterized by a desire to prevent the U.S. from being taken advantage of by other countries, leading to increased tariffs and withdrawal from international agreements [10][12]. - The administration's approach to China has been pragmatic, emphasizing economic competition while still expressing a desire for investment from Chinese firms [14][21]. Group 3: Cultural and Psychological Concerns - There are deeper concerns regarding the cultural and psychological impact of Trump's policies, with fears that prolonged instability could lead to a collapse of markets and investor confidence [7][19]. - The article reflects on the potential for a shift in the global order, questioning whether the world will revert to a "jungle law" or maintain basic consensus in the face of common challenges [19][27]. Group 4: China's Position and Response - The article expresses confidence in China's ability to innovate and evolve despite external pressures from the U.S., suggesting that challenges may ultimately lead to growth [23][24]. - It emphasizes the importance of focusing on domestic economic development and innovation rather than rushing to fill perceived gaps left by the U.S. [25][26]. - The narrative suggests that China's approach should be rooted in its cultural values, promoting harmony and coexistence rather than aggressive expansion [27].