三大利空，突袭！

Core Viewpoint - The recent significant decline in stocks related to computing power and artificial intelligence is attributed to concerns over potential market bubbles and lowered sales forecasts for AI servers [1][4][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - Small-cap stocks are underperforming, with significant drops in computing power and AI-related stocks, including a more than 7% decline in Cambrian [1]. - In the Hong Kong market, stocks like Hua Hong Semiconductor and Kingsoft Cloud saw declines of over 6%, while SenseTime dropped over 2% [1]. - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 4%, with major stocks like BYD Electronics and Sunny Optical Technology dropping over 11% [3]. Group 2: Analyst Insights - Analysts link the stock declines to two main factors: Alibaba's chairman noted signs of a bubble in AI data center investments, and Goldman Sachs downgraded its sales forecasts for rack-level AI servers for 2025 and 2026 [1][4][6]. - Goldman Sachs revised its forecast for AI server shipments down to 19,000 units and 57,000 units for 2025 and 2026, respectively, from previous estimates of 31,000 and 66,000 units [5]. Group 3: Specific Company Developments - On March 25, Xiaomi announced plans to place 800 million shares to raise approximately HKD 42.5 billion, which may negatively impact its stock price due to dilution concerns [7]. - Alibaba's chairman expressed concerns about overlapping investments in AI, indicating a potential risk of market saturation [6]. - Despite the current downturn, some analysts remain optimistic about the domestic computing power supply chain's growth, driven by increased capital expenditure and advancements in domestic chip technology [7][8].