张忆东最新交流：恒生科技是这轮中国资产重估的领军者，短期行情“洗洗更健康”

Core Viewpoint - The technology-driven bull market is the main theme of the current revaluation of Chinese assets, emphasizing the importance of technological breakthroughs [1][16]. Group 1: Market Outlook - The current market is expected to enter a phase of oscillation and adjustment after the initial stage of the bull market, which is seen as a short-term cooling period [1][35]. - The Hang Seng Technology Index is anticipated to lead the revaluation of Chinese assets, outperforming both the S&P 500 and the Hang Seng Index in 2025 and 2026 [1][35]. - Investors should focus on high-quality companies with strong fundamentals to achieve growth during the bull market [1][49]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Context - The key variables for the macroeconomic outlook in 2025 are not extreme fluctuations but rather reform and technological innovation [2][17]. - The recovery of the real estate sector and the stabilization of rental yields in major cities indicate a potential stabilization of property prices by 2025 [19][20]. - The rise of AI technology is expected to enhance efficiency across various industries, contributing to a structural shift in the economy [21][30]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to adopt a long-term perspective and rebuild valuation frameworks in light of AI advancements, moving away from traditional static metrics [24][28]. - The focus should be on the penetration rate of AI technology, capital expenditure, and the application prospects in various industries [28][29]. - The bull market is characterized by a need to identify the most promising companies within the AI ecosystem, which may yield significant returns [46][48]. Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - Companies in the technology sector, particularly those represented by "ATM" (Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi), are expected to benefit from the AI wave and should be prioritized for investment [3][44]. - The integration of AI into various sectors, including biomedicine, education, and finance, presents new opportunities for growth [46][47]. - The new generation of consumers, particularly those born in the 90s and 00s, will drive rapid growth in emerging consumption sectors [23].