【广发金工】AI识图关注红利低波（20250330）

Market Performance - The recent 5 trading days saw the Sci-Tech 50 Index decline by 1.29%, and the ChiNext Index drop by 1.12%, while the large-cap value index rose by 0.28% and the large-cap growth index increased by 0.04% [1] - The healthcare and agriculture sectors performed well, whereas the computer and defense industries lagged behind [1] Risk Premium Analysis - The static PE of the CSI All Share Index minus the yield of 10-year government bonds indicates a risk premium, which has historically reached extreme levels at two standard deviations above the mean during significant market bottoms [1] - As of January 19, 2024, the risk premium indicator was at 4.11%, marking the fifth occurrence since 2016 of exceeding 4% [1] Valuation Levels - As of March 28, 2025, the CSI All Share Index's PE TTM percentile was at 53%, with the SSE 50 and CSI 300 at 58% and 48% respectively, while the ChiNext Index was close to 14% [2] - The ChiNext Index's valuation is relatively low compared to historical averages [2] Long-term Market Trends - The Shenzhen 100 Index has experienced bear markets approximately every three years, followed by bull markets, with declines ranging from 40% to 45% [2] - The current adjustment cycle, which began in Q1 2021, appears to have sufficient time and space for a potential upward trend [2] Fund Flow and Trading Activity - In the last 5 trading days, ETF inflows totaled 16.2 billion yuan, while margin financing decreased by approximately 24.8 billion yuan [3] - The average daily trading volume across both markets was 1.2346 trillion yuan [3] Thematic Investment Focus - As of March 28, 2025, the recommended investment themes include construction materials and low-volatility dividend stocks [2][8]