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机构研究周报:盈利定价权重或提升,基本面对长债仍有支撑
Wind万得·2025-03-30 22:34

Core Viewpoints - The short-term catalysts for the A-share market may diminish, while the upcoming April earnings season could enhance profit pricing power [1][5] - External demand may face downward pressure, but the fundamental landscape still supports long-term bonds [1][4] Equity Market - Zhongtai Securities focuses on small-cap technology stocks, suggesting that they may benefit from capital expenditures by leading firms and local investments, potentially releasing performance elasticity this year [3] - Guohai Securities believes that financial and technology sectors may benefit from index breakthroughs, with a strong recovery in policy, monetary, or fundamentals being necessary for sustained upward movement [4] - Huatai Bairui Fund anticipates an increase in profit pricing power as the market risk appetite recovers, with a focus on emerging growth assets and dividend cash flow sectors benefiting from declining interest rates [5] Macroeconomic and Fixed Income - Penghua Fund indicates that the domestic economy is in a weak recovery trend, with real estate still seeking a bottom and external trade policies potentially dragging down exports [17] - Boshi Fund asserts that the fundamental landscape supports long-term bonds, with slow recovery in real estate and potential downward pressure on external demand [18] - CICC suggests that long-term interest rates may experience narrow fluctuations due to recent liquidity easing and a stable economic environment [19] Asset Allocation - Guolian Minsheng Securities recommends a barbell strategy in a volatile market, focusing on sectors with reasonable valuations and strong fundamentals while avoiding high-risk speculative areas [21][22]