情绪模型观点保持偏空，大盘价值占优——量化择时周报20250328

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that market sentiment has declined for two consecutive weeks, suggesting a bearish short-term outlook for market timing [1] - The market sentiment structure indicator was at 1.6 as of March 28, 2025, down 0.6 from the previous week, signaling a bearish outlook for the upcoming week [1] - The article highlights that the A-share market has experienced a decrease in trading volume, with a shift in funds from high-valuation growth sectors to low-valuation defensive sectors [5][9] Group 2 - The sentiment structure indicators show a negative signal, with trading volume decreasing and price-volume consistency declining to low levels [3] - The article notes that the overall trading volume in the A-share market has dropped to levels close to the beginning of the year, primarily due to a cooling off in the technology growth sector [5] - The article mentions that various industries have shown mixed performance, with a low degree of price-volume consistency, indicating a divergence in market sentiment [9] Group 3 - The cyclical defensive sectors are showing a predominantly bullish signal, with short-term trends favoring large-cap value stocks [12] - The public utilities sector continues to indicate a bullish signal, with other sectors like coal, transportation, and petrochemicals also showing positive short-term signals [12] - The relative strength indicators suggest that the large-cap and value styles are currently dominant, with a strong certainty of a shift towards large-cap and value stocks in the short term [14][15]