量子芯片，未来路线图

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave claims to have achieved "quantum supremacy" with its upcoming Advantage 2 quantum system, asserting it can solve problems that traditional computers cannot, despite facing skepticism from the scientific community [2][14][15]. Group 1: Company Achievements - D-Wave's Advantage 2 quantum system, featuring 1,200 qubits, is said to have solved a problem in minutes that would take traditional supercomputers a million years [2]. - The company reported a record revenue of $23.9 million in the past year, a 128% increase from $10.5 million in 2023, with over $300 million in the bank [3]. - D-Wave has established a new business model to sell its quantum systems directly to data centers, following the purchase of its Advantage quantum system by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre [2][3]. Group 2: Future Roadmap - D-Wave plans to enhance its hardware roadmap, starting with the release of Advantage 2, which will eventually scale to 4,400 qubits [5][8]. - The company aims to develop a system with 100,000 qubits, transitioning to a multi-chip architecture to increase qubit count while maintaining connectivity and coherence [9][10]. - Future updates include Advantage 2 Performance in 2026 and Advantage 3 by 2030, indicating a long-term commitment to advancing quantum technology [8]. Group 3: Technical Advancements - Advantage 2 features improved connectivity, with each qubit connected to 20 others, doubling the coherence time and increasing energy scale by 40% compared to the previous Advantage system [8]. - D-Wave is also accelerating the development of gate-model quantum systems, which have broader applications than its current annealing technology [10][12]. - The company is integrating digital simulation with its annealing systems to enhance performance on optimization problems [12]. Group 4: Industry Controversies - D-Wave's claims of quantum supremacy have been met with skepticism, as some researchers argue that traditional computing methods can replicate their results [14][16]. - Critics highlight that while D-Wave's technology shows promise, it is still limited to specific types of problems, primarily optimization tasks [15][18]. - Despite the controversies, experts acknowledge that D-Wave's machines can outperform traditional methods in certain scenarios, emphasizing the potential for practical applications in scientific research [18][19].