Group 1 - The four major municipalities in China (Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, and Chongqing) are experiencing a population crisis in 2024, with no growth in their resident populations [2][7] - Beijing's resident population is projected to be 21.83 million by the end of 2024, a decrease of 26,000 from the previous year [3] - Shanghai's resident population is expected to be 24.80 million, with a reduction of 71,900, marking the largest decline among major cities [4] - Chongqing's population is forecasted to be 31.90 million, down by 9,600, following a significant drop of 219,100 in 2023, the highest in the country [5] - Tianjin's population remains stable at 13.64 million, showing no growth [6] Group 2 - The overall population growth in key cities has significantly slowed down, moving away from rapid growth patterns seen in the past [10] - Shenzhen and Guangzhou are currently leading in population growth, contrasting with the declines in the four major municipalities [9] - The average annual population increase for Shenzhen from 2010 to 2020 was over 700,000, while current growth has dropped to below 200,000 [11][12] - From 2021 to 2024, only the four major municipalities have shown negative population growth [14] Group 3 - Beijing and Shanghai are categorized as one type of municipality, while Tianjin and Chongqing are classified as another, with differing population dynamics [18] - The population decline in Beijing and Shanghai is attributed to self-imposed population caps, with Beijing actively relocating non-capital functions [19][20] - In contrast, Tianjin and Chongqing have implemented talent attraction initiatives, such as Tianjin's "Haihe Talent Plan," but still face population declines [23][24] Group 4 - Tianjin's population decline is primarily due to industrial adjustments, with a significant reliance on outdated industries [28][37] - The city's industrial structure is heavily weighted towards traditional sectors, with new industries contributing less than 20% to industrial profits [33] - The natural population decrease in Tianjin is exacerbated by a birth rate of 4.47‰ and a death rate of 7.04‰ in 2023, leading to a natural growth rate of -2.57‰ [39] Group 5 - Chongqing's population decline is influenced by a high rural population with low income levels, leading to a weak population competitiveness [51][59] - The city has a significant rural demographic, with 933,020 residents in rural areas as of 2022, contributing to out-migration [52][54] - Despite a population decrease, Chongqing's automotive industry saw a 26.7% increase in value added in 2023, indicating potential for economic growth [71]
首次！四大直辖市，人口无一增长！
城市财经·2025-04-02 03:42