特朗普在豪赌美国国运！我们该如何应对？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of Trump's recent "reciprocal tariff" executive order, which imposes a 10% minimum tariff on global trade partners and a 34% tariff specifically on China, highlighting the potential economic risks and market reactions associated with this policy [1][2][3]. Group 1: Objectives of the Tariff Policy - The primary goal of the tariff policy is to alleviate the U.S. debt burden by increasing revenue through higher tariffs [5]. - Another objective is to stimulate the return of manufacturing jobs to the U.S. by making domestic production more financially attractive [6]. - The policy aims to reshape the geopolitical landscape and re-establish U.S. dominance in international trade [7]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement, U.S. stock markets experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones dropping 2.72%, S&P 500 down 3.16%, and Nasdaq falling 4.24% within two days [12]. - Global markets also reacted negatively, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index down 2.6% and Vietnam's stock market plummeting 7% [13]. - The volatility in the markets reflects concerns over the uncertainty of the tariff policy and its long-term implications [14]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - In the U.S. market, a cautious approach is recommended, avoiding high-valuation tech stocks and focusing on defensive sectors such as utilities and healthcare [24]. - For Hong Kong stocks, it is advised to reduce exposure to export-oriented companies and increase holdings in domestic consumption and financial sectors [34]. - In the A-share market, investors are encouraged to consider undervalued blue-chip stocks and sectors benefiting from domestic demand and technological advancements [34]. Group 4: China's Response and Market Risks - China is likely to implement reciprocal tariffs on U.S. goods, particularly in agriculture and energy, while also diversifying its export markets [37]. - Long-term strategies may include tax reductions and infrastructure investments to boost domestic demand, alongside enhancing regional trade cooperation [38]. - Potential risks include increased import costs leading to domestic inflation and the impact of reduced U.S. demand on export-oriented companies [38].