21世纪经济报道·2025-04-11 03:21Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the surge in gold prices driven by rising global market panic and increased demand for safe-haven assets, with gold reaching historical highs. Group 1: Gold Price Surge - On April 11, spot gold prices surpassed $3,200 per ounce, setting a new historical high, while COMEX gold futures touched $3,240 per ounce [2] - Gold-related ETFs saw significant gains, with multiple ETFs rising over 3%, and gold stock ETFs increasing by more than 9% [3][4] - Domestic gold jewelry prices are approaching 1,000 yuan per gram, with notable increases in prices over a short period [8][11] Group 2: Institutional Predictions - Institutions have raised their gold price forecasts significantly, with Citigroup predicting prices could reach $3,500 per ounce by year-end due to increased demand amid fears of U.S. economic downturns [15] - Goldman Sachs has adjusted its 2025 gold price forecast from $3,100 to $3,300 per ounce, citing stronger-than-expected ETF inflows and ongoing central bank demand [15] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and Bank of America have also revised their predictions, with Bank of America suggesting a potential target of $3,500 per ounce if investment demand increases by 10% [15][16] Group 3: Central Bank Actions - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves to 7,370 million ounces as of the end of March, marking the fifth consecutive month of gold accumulation [17] - This trend indicates a significant signal regarding the global monetary system's restructuring amid U.S.-China tensions, with gold remaining a critical asset for central banks [17] Group 4: Market Risks - The Shanghai Gold Exchange issued a warning regarding market risks due to the volatility in precious metal prices, urging investors to manage their positions carefully [20][21]