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美元资产,遭遇大抛售!
证券时报·2025-04-12 09:40

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant sell-off in U.S. Treasury bonds and the U.S. dollar, indicating a loss of confidence among foreign investors in U.S. assets due to rising interest rates and economic uncertainties [1][2][10]. Group 1: U.S. Treasury Bonds - U.S. Treasury bonds have experienced a continuous decline, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising by 6.86 basis points to 4.4876% and the 30-year yield increasing by 0.72 basis points to 4.8723% [1][4]. - The 10-year Treasury yield has surged nearly 50 basis points this week, marking the largest weekly increase since 2001, while the 30-year yield has risen over 46 basis points, the largest since 1982 [1][4]. - The increase in yields suggests a negative correlation with bond prices, indicating that higher yields lead to lower bond prices [4][6]. Group 2: U.S. Dollar - The U.S. dollar index fell sharply, dropping nearly 2% and breaking below the 100 mark for the first time since July 2023, with a cumulative decline of over 3% for the week [1][8]. - The euro and yen have shown strong rebounds against the dollar, with the euro rising nearly 3.6% and the yen over 2% during the week [8]. - Analysts suggest that the significant drop in dollar demand reflects a reevaluation of reliance on the dollar as a reserve currency, which could negatively impact the sustainability of the U.S. economy [10]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The rise in Treasury yields may lead to increased borrowing costs for mortgages and corporate loans, potentially impacting the U.S. economy negatively [6]. - There are concerns regarding the loss of confidence in U.S. policies, particularly in light of tariff uncertainties, which may lead to a broader market impact [7][11]. - Economic forecasts remain pessimistic, with predictions of a slowdown in U.S. GDP growth and rising unemployment rates, despite the government's decision to delay high tariffs on several trade partners [11].