券商中国·2025-04-13 08:28Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of tariff policies on the global financial market, particularly focusing on the U.S. technology sector and the broader economic outlook amid ongoing uncertainties [2][11]. Group 1: Tariff Policies and Market Reactions - The Trump administration's decision to exempt certain consumer electronics and key components from tariffs is seen as a major relief for the U.S. technology sector, preventing a potential collapse [3][4]. - The S&P 500 index experienced a notable increase of 5.7% this week, marking its best weekly performance in November 2023, with the Nasdaq rising by 7.29% [5]. - The volatility in the market is expected to continue due to uncertainties surrounding tariff policies and the recent sell-off in U.S. Treasury bonds [6][11]. Group 2: Economic Forecasts and Predictions - Analysts predict a significant slowdown in U.S. economic growth, with forecasts for GDP growth in 2025 ranging from 0.1% to 0.6% and unemployment rates potentially rising to nearly 5% next year [11][12]. - The consumer confidence index dropped sharply from 57.0 in March to 50.8 in April, indicating deteriorating consumer sentiment amid rising inflation expectations [9]. - High inflation and deteriorating financial conditions may prompt the European Central Bank to lower interest rates multiple times throughout the year [10]. Group 3: Upcoming Financial Reports and Events - Major tech companies, including ASML and TSMC, are set to release their quarterly earnings next week, which could further influence market sentiment [4]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak next week, with expectations that he will address the impacts of tariff policies and recent market volatility [9].