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季报观点速读 | 关税冲击之下,他们这样思考
中泰证券资管·2025-04-21 09:31

Core Viewpoints - The first quarter of 2025 saw a stable market overall, but significant differences across industries, with technology sectors showing notable progress and macroeconomic recovery creating market expectations [6][21] - The impact of external demand remains a significant uncertainty for investors, particularly in light of ongoing trade tensions [7][22] Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The AI and robotics sectors performed well, driven by technological advancements, while traditional sectors like real estate and construction faced pressure [5][21] - The market exhibited structural characteristics, benefiting from technological progress in communications, electronics, computing, and automotive sectors [6][21] - The overall performance of the market was influenced by the lack of clear fundamental themes, leading to a focus on policy impacts on the economy [6][7] Group 2: Investment Strategy and Focus - The investment strategy emphasizes long-term value creation over short-term fluctuations, focusing on structural changes in competitive advantages rather than just growth rates [6][7] - The portfolio remains diversified, with a focus on high-quality companies that can sustain value creation, while also being cautious about external risks [10][12] - The fund managers are committed to maintaining a balance between risk and return, utilizing deep research to identify companies with sustainable competitive advantages [10][12] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The technology sector, particularly AI, is experiencing significant breakthroughs, with domestic companies benefiting from reduced costs and improved efficiency [15][17] - The healthcare sector, especially innovative drugs and devices, is showing potential for valuation recovery despite ongoing pressures from policy changes [16] - The fund is also focusing on the full AI industry chain, with increased investments in semiconductor equipment and AI middleware [17][18] Group 4: Economic Outlook and Policy Impact - The domestic economy is showing signs of recovery, with room for stimulus policies, but external demand fluctuations pose risks to overall economic recovery [7][22] - The ongoing trade tensions are expected to create a challenging environment for exports, but the resilience of the domestic economy and available policy tools provide a buffer [22][27] - The investment approach will continue to adapt to macroeconomic changes, focusing on undervalued assets and sectors supported by policy initiatives [27][31]