【兴证计算机】信创复盘研究：观往知来，超额成长可期

Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the upcoming earnings season, suggesting to accumulate quality leading stocks at the bottom as earnings reports are set to be disclosed soon [2] Group 1: Earnings Reports and Market Trends - As of April 19, 2024, 133 companies have disclosed their 2024 annual reports and 12 companies have released their Q1 2025 reports, accounting for 40% and 4% respectively, with 8 working days remaining in the earnings season [2] - The computer sector has experienced continuous adjustments due to earnings disclosures and international developments, but the overall performance trend and industrial changes remain positive [2] - Historical data shows that since 2010, the probability of the computer index rising in April, May, and June is 20%, 53%, and 60% respectively, indicating a potential upward trend [2] Group 2: Industry Developments - The Model Context Protocol (MCP) is accelerating the application of AI, facilitating seamless interaction between AI models and external tools/data, which aids in the rapid development of Agent applications [3] - Major cloud service providers like Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, and Baidu Map have launched MCP-related services, enhancing the AI ecosystem [3] - The eCall industry is poised for growth, driven by increased importance of intelligent driving safety and rising domestic market demand, alongside potential opportunities in overseas markets due to geopolitical changes [3] Group 3: Industry Research - A retrospective study on the Xinchuang industry highlights its growth certainty, suggesting that the sector is expected to achieve excess growth in the future [4]