美联储！突爆大消息

Core Viewpoint - Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, even suggesting the possibility of firing Chairman Powell, as he seeks to mitigate the inflation effects of his own tariff policies [3][4][9]. Group 1: Trump's Pressure on the Federal Reserve - Trump has repeatedly called for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, claiming it is necessary due to the economic impact of tariffs [3][4]. - Reports indicate that Trump is attempting to shift the blame for economic issues onto Powell, suggesting that the Fed should align its policies with his economic agenda [3][4]. - Trump's previous criticisms of the Fed and Powell during his first term highlight a consistent pattern of his desire for lower rates [3][4]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Cautious Stance - Powell stated that the Fed's responsibilities include stabilizing prices and maximizing employment, and it will wait for clearer government policies before making any rate adjustments [5][6]. - The Fed is cautious about lowering rates due to ongoing inflation above the 2% target and the uncertainty surrounding trade policies [6]. - Other Fed officials have echoed Powell's cautious approach, emphasizing the need for careful evaluation of long-term impacts before taking action [5][6]. Group 3: Market Expectations for Rate Cuts - Despite the Fed's current reluctance to lower rates, market predictions suggest a potential rate cut later in the year, with a 59.4% probability of a 25 basis point cut in June [8]. - Analysts believe that if liquidity issues arise, it could prompt the Fed to intervene, similar to past financial crises [8]. Group 4: Challenges in Firing Powell - The prospect of Trump successfully firing Powell is deemed highly unlikely due to legal and institutional barriers, as well as significant public and political opposition [9]. - Powell's term as Fed Chair is set to last until May 2026, and he has previously indicated he would resist any attempts to remove him [9]. - Concerns from financial experts suggest that undermining the Fed's independence could lead to market instability [9].