Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reintroduction of special bonds for land reserves in China after a five-year suspension, highlighting the reasons for the initial halt and the current economic context that necessitates this move [1][2]. Group 1: Historical Context of Land Reserve Bonds - The land reserve system in China was established in 2001, with funding sources evolving through various phases, including the initial reliance on loans, the introduction of special bonds in 2017, and the suspension of these bonds from September 2019 to October 2024 [2][5][9]. - The special bonds for land reserves were first launched in 2017 and saw significant issuance until their suspension in 2019, which was aimed at regulating the real estate market and directing funds towards infrastructure [10][14]. Group 2: Characteristics of the Current Land Reserve Bonds - The current round of land reserve special bonds is distinct from previous issuances, focusing on acquiring idle land that has been supplied but not developed, particularly from enterprises unable or unwilling to continue development [25][36]. - The issuance of these bonds is intended to alleviate financial pressure on local governments and stabilize the real estate market by optimizing land resource allocation from "incremental expansion" to "stock optimization" [25][36]. Group 3: Issuance and Progress of Land Reserve Bonds - As of April 17, 2025, only nine bonds related to land reserves have been issued, totaling approximately 850.97 billion yuan, with 516.74 billion yuan specifically allocated for land reserves [27][30]. - The slow issuance pace is attributed to the recent establishment of detailed guidelines for the bonds and the concurrent issuance of debt to replace hidden liabilities, which has crowded out the issuance window for land reserve bonds [27][36]. Group 4: Analysis of Land Acquisition - The proposed land for acquisition primarily includes mixed-use, residential, and commercial properties, with a significant portion of the land being targeted for acquisition by state-owned enterprises and local government financing platforms [36][41]. - The average discount rate for land acquisition is approximately 12%, with state-owned enterprises receiving lower discounts compared to private enterprises, which face higher acquisition costs [46].
【申万固收】土储专项债重启:存量土地“破局”与地方债务风险化解的双向奔赴——区域化债系列报告之十
申万宏源研究·2025-04-23 03:12