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主题策略|精密仪器:科技自主柱石,品牌成长良机
中信证券研究·2025-04-23 00:15

Core Viewpoint - Precision instruments are critical for modern industrial and technological development, and the increasing competition among major powers, particularly the U.S. restrictions, presents both challenges and opportunities for China's precision instrument sector [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Precision instruments account for only 4% of industrial output value but have a significant impact on GNP, estimated at 66% [2]. - The global analytical instrument market was valued at $49.8 billion in 2023, with a diverse range of products [2]. - China's precision instrument industry is relatively nascent, with weak independent innovation capabilities and small enterprise scales, leading to a high dependency on foreign manufacturers for high-end instruments [2][8]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The trade restrictions on high-end analytical instruments have resulted in a significant trade deficit of $65.4 million in 2023 for China, particularly in optical analysis, mass spectrometry, and chromatography [8]. - The shift in domestic customer attitudes towards supply chain security and cost reduction has led to a gradual decline in the reliance on foreign brands [2]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Three main investment lines are suggested for penetrating the Chinese precision instrument market: 1. Identify opportunities in the optical instrument sector, akin to "China's Zeiss" [47]. 2. Explore the electronic measurement instrument sector, similar to "China's HP" [48]. 3. Focus on the analytical instrument sector, which has low domestic replacement rates, resembling "China's Thermo Fisher" [49]. Group 4: International Comparisons - The growth of international precision instrument leaders is often based on strong theoretical foundations and innovative research methods, establishing a leading position early in market development [20]. - Companies like Zeiss and Thermo Fisher have successfully leveraged innovation and strategic acquisitions to expand their market presence and capabilities [25][30]. Group 5: Domestic Industry Trends - China's high-tech industries are rapidly developing, leading to increased demand for upstream instrument equipment, particularly in sectors like new energy vehicles, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and semiconductors [34]. - The domestic instrument market is expected to see significant growth in the context of import substitution, driven by the need for supply chain stability and cost reduction [34][38]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The domestic precision instrument sector is poised for a wave of mergers and acquisitions, as companies seek to enhance their market positions and competitiveness through consolidation [46].