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中信证券研究·2025-04-25 00:09

Group 1 - The central government has not reduced its holdings in ETFs since October 2023, with Central Huijin increasing its ETF holdings to stabilize market expectations and boost investor confidence [1] - As of April 2025, Central Huijin's ETF holdings have shown significant net inflows, contradicting rumors that it typically sells after market rallies [1] - The A-share market is considered a key element in boosting confidence amid the trade war, reflecting the government's commitment to maintaining market stability [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2023, local government bond issuance reached a record high of 2.84 trillion yuan, with 1.4 trillion yuan allocated for debt replacement [2] - The issuance of new general bonds and special bonds has accelerated, with expectations for further increases in Q2 due to the implementation of self-examination and self-issuance trials [2] - The current high yield spread of local government bonds makes them suitable for stable institutional investors [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Natural Resources has set the tungsten mining quota for 2025 at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.5% from the previous year [3] - The tightening of mining quotas, along with environmental regulations and declining ore grades, is expected to limit short-term supply in the tungsten industry [3] - Increased demand from downstream sectors, particularly in photovoltaic tungsten wire, is anticipated to support an upward trend in tungsten prices [3] Group 4 - Core companies in the commercial aerospace sector reported strong Q1 results, with Chengchang Technology and Zhenlei Technology showing significant profit growth of 300.06% and 495.74% year-on-year, respectively [6] - The Shanghai government aims to grow the commercial aerospace industry to over 100 billion yuan by 2027, indicating strong policy support [6] - The satellite internet industry is entering a phase of growth, driven by core company performance and increasing orders [6]