“申”度解盘 | 上证指数区间上轨震荡回调，市场热点切换较快

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to have limited pullback due to ample liquidity, and quality stocks with good performance in Q1 and positive expectations for mid-year reports can be accumulated on dips [2][6]. Market Overview - The A-share market is facing resistance at the upper range, with sectors such as communication optical modules, rare earth permanent magnets, brokerage firms, and innovative pharmaceuticals showing performance, although market hotspots are switching rapidly [2]. Weekly Review - On June 10, a framework agreement was reached between China and the U.S. after extensive talks, focusing on rare earths and technology. China's export controls on certain heavy rare earths since April have heightened concerns among overseas companies reliant on these materials, with approximately 80% of U.S. rare earth demand depending on imports from China. The importance of rare earth permanent magnet materials is increasing in various sectors, including robotics, new energy vehicles, and consumer electronics, leading to strong performance in the A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector [3]. - The optical module sector performed well, with expectations of significant growth in 800G optical module products driven by AI infrastructure and traditional cloud data center technology upgrades. Additionally, demand for higher-value 1.6T products is anticipated to surge by 2026. Nvidia's strong stock performance and plans to build AI factories in Europe have positively impacted related sectors, including PCB and communication industry stocks [4]. - The innovative pharmaceuticals and brokerage sectors also showed performance, while the liquor sector negatively impacted the market. The market saw gains in oil and gas sectors due to heightened tensions in the Middle East [4]. Market Outlook - The Shanghai Composite Index is operating at the upper range, supported significantly by the banking sector. The Shenzhen Component Index is relatively weaker, affected by the new energy and Apple supply chain. Future market trends will need to consider changes in the Middle East geopolitical situation and developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations [5].