第一财经·2025-06-15 04:02Core Viewpoint - The current state of the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry mirrors that of the photovoltaic (PV) industry, with both sectors facing challenges from price wars and cost-cutting measures that threaten innovation and overall industry health [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The price war in the PV sector has led to a significant decline in prices across the supply chain, with prices for polysilicon and components dropping nearly 30%, despite a 28.3% year-on-year increase in new installations [2][3]. - Major PV companies, including Longi Green Energy and Tongwei Co., have reported substantial revenue declines and losses, indicating that the aggressive pricing strategies are unsustainable [2][3]. - The NEV industry is currently experiencing a similar price war, with many companies unable to differentiate their products, leading to increased losses and cash flow issues [2][3]. Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Market Dynamics - The PV industry has faced severe overcapacity, driven by both market competition and local government incentives, which has historically led to inefficiencies and a poor market experience [3][4]. - The NEV sector is beginning to see similar patterns, with calls from industry leaders to halt new factory constructions and instead utilize existing overcapacity [3][4]. - The PV industry is now encouraging mergers and acquisitions to consolidate and eliminate low-quality capacity, a trend that is expected to emerge in the NEV sector as well [4][5]. Group 3: Innovation and Intellectual Property - The lack of intellectual property protection has hindered innovation in the PV sector, with new technologies quickly becoming common knowledge and not providing competitive advantages to early innovators [5][6]. - The NEV industry is undergoing a transformation that emphasizes the importance of innovation, particularly in software and artificial intelligence, necessitating both investment in R&D and protection of innovative outcomes [5][6]. - A supportive market environment that encourages and protects innovation is essential for the long-term success of both the PV and NEV industries in the global market [6][7].