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Higher for longer rate environment benefits banks, says Chris Marinac
CNBC Televisionยท2025-06-18 22:17

Interest Rate Environment & Bank Performance - Higher for longer rate environment benefits banks due to higher spread [3] - Deposit costs have already come down, contributing to bank profitability [3] - Lack of certainty from the Fed encourages banks to maintain careful lending practices and slow loan growth [3] Regulatory Changes & Capital - Potential easing of capital requirements (SLR change) for large banks could free up capital [1][4] - SLR change primarily benefits the large eight G-SIFI banks that are trading treasuries [4] - SLR facilitates trading and activity to create more liquidity in the treasury market [5][6] Bank Earnings & Competitive Advantage - Spread is the biggest driver of dollars for banks, followed by investment banking and trading [8] - Banks still make significant money on regular way deposit and loan taking [9] - Low cost of funds remains a key competitive advantage for banks [9] Regional Banks & M&A - Medium-sized banks are not growing revenues as fast as other parts of the financial ecosystem [11] - Regulatory environment is expected to help banks merge and have less onerous rules [11][12] - M&A activity is expected to be concentrated in the mid-cap and smaller-cap arena, creating more $40-60 billion banks [14][15]