Bolton Says the US Mission in Iran Is Not Done Yet

Geopolitical Risk Assessment - The industry assesses that the destruction of Iranian nuclear sites may not be complete, requiring further verification [2][3] - The industry acknowledges the US administration's stated objective is to focus on Iran's nuclear capabilities, not regime change, but recognizes regime change could still occur [4] - The industry views regime change in Iran as a potential solution to prevent the pursuit of nuclear weapons [5] - The industry anticipates potential Iranian retaliation against various targets, including Israel, Gulf Arab states, and US interests [7][8] - The industry believes the US should defend Gulf Arab states, Jordan, and Egypt against Iranian threats [9] Military and Strategic Considerations - The industry notes Iran's military capabilities may be diminished compared to October 6, 2023, due to actions by Israel and the weakening of its proxies [9] - The industry believes Iran's withdrawal from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty would be meaningless, as they have already been violating it [11] - The industry recognizes the potential for Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, but believes the US has increased naval assets in the region to address this threat [12][13] - The industry anticipates a strong US response, potentially including strikes against the Iranian navy and other targets inside Iran, if Iran attempts to close the Strait of Hormuz [14] Nuclear Proliferation Concerns - The industry expresses concern that even if Iran's nuclear capabilities are diminished in the short term, Iran's exit from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty could pose a greater danger in the long term [10]