Clark Says Netanyahu Is Pushing for Iran Regime Change

Geopolitical Risk Assessment - The market interprets Iran's actions as not the worst-case scenario, with equities at a high and oil prices dropping, suggesting a limited retaliatory response [9] - The market views the situation as an Israeli regime continuing to attack, a powerful US military capacity, and an Iranian regime trying to maintain power domestically, which is not a bad scenario from the market's perspective [10] - Regime change in Iran poses risks due to uncertainty about who would oversee the transition and who the US could trust in that role, drawing parallels to unsuccessful interventions in Iraq and Libya [11][12][13] - The potential for continued Israeli strikes on Iran exists, aiming for regime change, although this objective is not explicitly stated [3][4] Military and Security Implications - Iran has suffered serious losses to its military capabilities, including uranium enrichment facilities [2][3] - Israel has also suffered casualties, including the loss of a power plant [3] - The US is likely providing significant support to Israel, including ordnance, intelligence, and coordination, without direct involvement of US aircraft [4][5] - There are concerns about 400 to 600 kilograms of highly enriched uranium potentially being unsecured within Iran [2] - Airspace closures are occurring as a precautionary measure due to the conflict [7][8] Cyber Warfare - The US likely maintains a significant advantage in cyber warfare and is potentially impacting Iran's ability to communicate, although this may not be publicly known [6][7]