Capital reallocation out of U.S. helping emerging markets, says PIMCO's Pramol Dhawan

Market Outperformance & Capital Reallocation - Emerging markets and non-dollar European equities/fixed income are expected to continue outperforming in the second half of the year [2] - Capital is being reallocated away from the US towards regions with larger fiscal stimulus, driving growth in European and emerging market economies [2] - This capital reallocation is pushing emerging market equities to record elevated levels [3] - Diversification away from the US into the rest of the world presents a target-rich environment for investment [6] - Low ownership in non-US markets creates great opportunities for investors allocating capital [7] Monetary Policy & Disinflation - A weaker US dollar is creating a disinflationary backdrop for the rest of the world [4][5] - Emerging market central banks are cutting rates more aggressively, with the percentage of countries cutting rates jumping from 28% to over 60% in one month [4][5] - The industry anticipates a multiyear, virtuous cycle where central bankers can lower rates and focus on growth [4] Trade & Geopolitics - Trade negotiations and the tariff backdrop are central to emerging markets investment performance [8][9] - The US administration's decisions regarding trade will send an important message to the rest of the world [9] - The US has effectively weaponized its current account and capital account, discouraging inward investment [10]