Momentum is what's leading the market parade, says Interactive Brokers' Steve Sosnick

Market Momentum and Investor Sentiment - The market is currently driven by "Momo" (momentum), where trends are strong and investors believe "the trend is your friend" [2][3] - "FOMO" (fear of missing out) is prevalent, with investors joining the rally to avoid being left behind, potentially disregarding fundamentals [4] - The sustainability of the rally is questionable, as external forces could disrupt the current momentum [4][5] Potential Risks and External Factors - The expiration of tariff moratoria is mentioned, but considered a non-factor as they are likely to be rolled ahead [6] - The bond market's reaction to budget deficit concerns and "voterama" is a potential risk [7] - Earnings season is approaching, and while trend following is present, earnings ultimately matter [7] Earnings Season Outlook - There are conflicting signals regarding the upcoming earnings season, with some expecting a bumpy season based on corporate tax revenue, while others anticipate continued market momentum driven by earnings [7] - The extent to which expectations are factored into earnings results is a key uncertainty [8] - A weaker dollar could provide a tailwind for multinational earnings, but also indicates potential capital outflow from the US [8] - High expectations for earnings could lead to disappointment if results fall short, as seen with Micron [9]