Workflow
Why Did The Dollar Just Hit A 50-Year Low? - Chamath Palihapitiya
All-In Podcastยท2025-07-10 15:01

Dollar Devaluation & Asset Prices - The dollar has devalued 50% over the last 35-40 years, a trend expected to continue unless there's a complete collapse in the currency [1][2] - Asset prices in the US are increasing faster than the dollar devalues, making dollar-denominated assets desirable globally [2][3] - Until the US runs surpluses or eliminates its debt, there will be a reason to be short the dollar, but demand for dollar-denominated assets will likely continue [4] - Dollar devaluation is a long-term phenomenon that has existed for 50+ years, acting as a drag that can be overcome by the increase in asset values [12] US Economic Strength & Investment - American ingenuity and supremacy, particularly in AI, will continue to drive demand for American assets [14] - Betting against the United States in the long run is generally a losing proposition [15] - The key boundary condition for US economic strength is the quality of human capital and its ability to innovate [17] - Significant investment in data centers, AI, and nuclear power plants indicates ongoing American exceptionalism [22] Foreign Holdings of US Treasuries - Foreign holdings of US Treasuries have declined from 34% in the last 10 years [18] - Decreased foreign holdings of US Treasuries suggest that foreign governments and central banks have less influence on American fiscal and monetary policy [19]