Trump, NATO Strike Ukraine Weapons Deal: What’s Next for the War? | WSJ

Geopolitical Landscape & Strategic Shifts - Russia is intensifying its offensive in Ukraine, despite calls for peace, indicating a determination to achieve its objectives [1][2] - Russia aims to undermine Western support for Ukraine by demonstrating its resolve and the perceived futility of Western assistance [3][4] - The conflict's next months are critical due to Ukraine's shortages in weapons and manpower, giving Russia the initiative [2] - Russia is attempting to break Ukrainian resistance through intensified drone attacks and battlefield advances [3][7] Military & Tactical Developments - Russia has massed 50,000 troops in the Sunumi region, part of a broader effort to stretch Ukrainian defenses across an 800-mile front line [7][9] - Ukraine is facing critical shortages of infantry and artillery shells, impacting its ability to match Russia's firepower [10][14] - Ukraine is increasing domestic drone production, aiming for at least 4 million drones annually, to offset artillery shortages and strike strategically [13][14] - Ukraine is employing long-range drones to target military equipment and production facilities inside Russia, achieving strategic and psychological gains [11][12] International Involvement & Potential Resolutions - A potential deal involves the US sending weapons, including Patriot air defense systems funded by NATO countries, to Ukraine [6] - Economic threats, such as severe tariffs, are being considered as leverage to push for a peace deal within 50 days [7] - Russia is potentially bolstering its troop numbers with 15,000 North Korean soldiers already deployed and further reinforcements expected [11]