U.S. economy is slowing, but not collapsing, says Verdence's Megan Horneman

Market Outlook - The market may experience volatility due to complacency, especially before the August 1st deadlines [2] - A market pullback should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity, but caution is advised in the near term [5] - The market is pricing in a perfect scenario regarding tariffs and Federal Reserve actions [5] - The technology and growth sectors are pricing in perfection and not considering existing risks [4] Investment Strategy - Rebalancing portfolios is necessary, especially after recent rapid increases [3] - Diversification into international stocks is recommended, as they have room to catch up with the US [7] - International stocks are relatively cheaper compared to the US, which is considered expensive, especially in large-cap growth [8] - Investors should be cautious about the growthiest part of the market, as valuations may be overextended [16] Federal Reserve & Interest Rates - There is less than a 50% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in September [10] - Inflation is not moving in the right direction, limiting the Fed's flexibility to cut rates [11]