Market Resilience & Economic Outlook - The market and economy have shown resilience to higher tariff rates [1] - Strong employment continues, with inflation easing to the mid-2% range [3] - Credit markets are very strong, with significant refinancing activity at tight spreads [3] Interest Rates & Monetary Policy - There's a possibility of interest rate cuts, although some anticipate no cuts this year [2] - Markets are acting in a benign fashion [3] - The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has decreased from 40% to 22% of government debt, with continued sales of $40 billion per month, potentially easing conditions at the long end [7][8] Debt Market Activity - Approximately $45 billion in deals were announced on Monday, marking the fourth largest day or week in market history [4] - Companies are repricing deals with portable provisions, indicating strong investor demand [4][5] Consumer Impact - Approximately 87% of homeowners have mortgage rates well below current levels, impacting housing [8] - Roughly two-thirds of mortgages are 200 basis points below current financing rates, creating concern for consumers [8] Business Environment - Businesses are benefiting from the current environment and performing well [5] - Earnings revisions are trending upward, and unemployment remains low, creating a favorable environment for both equity and debt markets [6]
It's a good environment for equities and debt year-to-date, says Canyon's Joshua Friedman
CNBC Televisionยท2025-07-23 15:28