Trade Agreements and Tariffs - The markets interpret recent trade announcements with Japan and Indonesia as a sign of reduced uncertainty, with tariffs potentially higher but not catastrophic [2] - The expectation is that the US-China trade deadline will be extended, continuing the detente [6] - The EU's meeting with China was described as tense, highlighting concerns about China's overcapacity threatening European industrialization [8][9] - The EU has imposed tariffs as high as 45% on Chinese EVs [13] Currency Impact on Trade - Currency devaluation can offset the inflationary impact of tariffs, as seen with the Chinese yuan against the euro [14] - A weaker dollar, contrary to expectations, has not led to significant inflation [16] Venezuela and Oil Markets - The US administration is reportedly allowing Chevron to resume drilling in Venezuela [18] - This decision aims to increase oil supply by a million barrels, providing leverage regarding Iran and preventing oil price increases [19] - The move is also seen as potentially benefiting the Venezuelan opposition in the future [20]
The Chinese have kept the yuan weak to deal with U.S. tariffs, says Michelle Caruso-Cabrera
CNBC Televisionยท2025-07-25 11:29