Jefferies' Sheila Kahyaoglu: Tariff trade deal will build order momentum for Boeing

Financial Performance - Boeing's free cash flow burn was only $200 million, significantly lower than the street's anticipation of approximately $2 billion [2] - Year-to-date free cash flow burn is 22% [2] - 737 production rate reached 38 per month, representing 50% of Boeing's estimated free cash flow [3][9] - Defense sector is showing a turnaround, with no losses reported for the second consecutive quarter [13] Order Momentum & Backlog - Boeing's backlog is currently at 7 years of production [6] - Year-to-date, Boeing has approximately 650 official orders [6] - Preliminary orders from trade deals amount to around 450, including deals with Qatar, Indonesia, Japan, and the EU [6] Production Rate & Targets - The company aims to increase the 737 production rate by 5 per month, targeting 42 per month initially, followed by a potential increase to 47 [10] - The aspirational target for monthly production rate is 52 to 55 [10] Trade & Tariffs - Trade deals are expected to build order momentum and support pricing, which will positively impact free cash flow [7] - Trade deals are considered a significant factor for Boeing, potentially adding substantial business [5]