X @il Capo Of Crypto

Market Overview & Economic Outlook - The market rebound is expected to continue in the very short term, with Bitcoin potentially reaching $92,000-$98,000 and some altcoins bouncing 50%-100% [5] - A major global reset, comparable to 1929, is anticipated between late 2025 and early 2026, driven by the unwinding of COVID-era quantitative easing and subsequent quantitative tightening [3] - Interest rate cuts historically signal an impending recession, suggesting the current economic slowdown is a delayed but inevitable major global reset [3] - Tariffs are considered minor distractions compared to the larger economic forces at play, with sharper corrections expected [4] Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - The current bull market in Bitcoin is viewed as artificial, driven by ETFs and USDT/USDC minting, while many altcoins remain near their lows, indicating a concerning disconnect [8] - Bitcoin's behavior during a real global crisis remains untested, and extreme volatility is expected during a recession or depression [9] - A bullish trend is expected in the medium term (next few months, potentially until September), with a possible altseason, although not as significant as in 2017 or 2021 [6] - A potential shakeout event, possibly triggered by renewed tariff talks or other global events, could lead to another capitulation before the expected bullish trend [5] Investment Strategy & Risk Management - Adaptability is crucial, balancing forecasts with the ability to adjust to evolving market conditions [1] - September 2025 is highlighted as a potential pivot point, drawing parallels to the 2021 cycle where a bear market began in November [8] - The period of late 2025 and 2026 is expected to be challenging, requiring preparedness to navigate potential opportunities amidst extreme volatility [7][9]