Tom Lee: Current investor caution suggests market isn't frothy

Market Sentiment & Economic Indicators - A new ETF, Granny Shots ETF, rapidly accumulated $2 billion in assets in less than a year [1] - Despite some enthusiasm, the general sentiment among Funstrat's clients (10,000 RAIA clients and over 400 hedge funds) is cautious, aligning with the $7 trillion of cash on the sidelines, suggesting a mid-cycle rather than a market top [4][5] - The ISM manufacturing index has remained above 50 for 29 months, the longest stretch in history, indicating businesses have been cautious [3] US Economic Performance & Global Comparison - US earnings growth since 2019 has surpassed all other countries, with India being the second closest but almost 20 percentage points behind [7] - 21 of the top 25 most profitable companies globally are US companies, justifying the large market capitalization of companies like Microsoft and Meta [8] - The US economy's strength is driven by technology, spearheaded by AI and digital assets, along with financial innovation [8] Market Valuation & Dominance - Meta and Microsoft's combined market capitalization equals that of the entire Tokyo Stock Exchange, reflecting the dominance of US companies [6]