Market Cycle Analysis - Bitcoin has increased approximately 7x from the cycle bottom [2][6] - The analysis suggests diminishing returns are likely in the current cycle [3][6][12] - As of August 1st, the market cycle is on day 996 from the bottom [3] - Historical data indicates potential market cycle tops around 2026, aligning with midterm year bear market patterns [4] ROI and Timing - The analysis considers ROI from the cycle low, peak, and post-halving to assess potential future movements [7][9][13] - Measuring from the April peak may be misleading, the November peak is considered the actual market cycle top [8] - As of August 1st, the analysis is on day 1362 from the cycle peak [7] - As of August 1st, the analysis is on day 468 post-halving [10] - Historical patterns suggest a potential final rally in the second half of the year [9] - Diminishing returns are correlated with diminishing losses in each cycle [12]
Bitcoin Market Cycles
Benjamin Cowenยท2025-08-04 11:49