Global Stocks Have Structural Tailwinds: 3-Minute MLIV

Market Volatility & Trends - August 5th is statistically the most volatile day for U S stocks based on the average move in the VIX since 1990, but the current August shows calmness [1] - Summer markets typically drift higher but are prone to sudden sell-offs, sometimes due to inexplicable moves [3] - Positive price action at the beginning of the week should be viewed with caution due to lower trading volumes, with S&P 500 volumes being approximately 23% below the 22-day average [4] Catalysts & Concerns - Tariffs remain a slow-moving catalyst with potential for negativity [5] - The market is awaiting CPI data next week, anticipating a positive drift this week [6] - Concerns exist regarding material damage from last Friday's data and Trump's actions against bailout measures [6] Investment Strategy & Outlook - The speaker remains long-term bullish on global equities due to abundant liquidity worldwide, including increasing liquidity from China [7] - US stocks are expected to continue to underperform, a trend observed since the end of January [7] - There is a short-term window for a "Sell America" narrative in August due to shifting growth narratives, particularly negative for the US [8][9]