Market Analysis & Volatility - Implied volatility is extremely low while open interest is near multi-year highs, suggesting explosive volatility is expected [2][3][6] - A potential hidden risk zone for Bitcoin is around the $105,000 level, supported by onchain data [19][21][22] - Bitcoin options are skewing bullish, with significant value stacked in calls and puts around August 29th, September 26th (60-day window), and December 26th [23][24] Supply Shock & Demand - A supply shock is anticipated within 60 days, potentially leading to upside volatility [2][7] - Bitcoin treasury companies are poised to inject approximately $15 billion into the market in Q3, exceeding the first half of 2024's Bitcoin ETF net flows [12][14] - ETF investors and treasury companies are primarily long-term holders, not looking for quick profits [9][10][11] Technical Indicators - Low implied volatility often precedes significant market movements [4] - Bitcoin futures open interest nearing $80 billion indicates a potentially explosive move, either up or down [5] - UTXO cost basis histogram reveals a significant accumulation or realization wall around $105,000 [21]
Crypto Expert's DIRE WARNING On Inevitable Explosion
Altcoin Dailyยท2025-08-06 20:42