Modi Weighs Options As US Ties Sour

US-India Trade Relations - The US is considering imposing tariffs on Indian imports, potentially reaching a 50% rate, as a tool for foreign policy objectives [2] - Pharmaceuticals and electronics may be affected in the future, making negotiations challenging [3] - India is seen as a tough negotiator, maintaining high levels of protection on many markets with persistent high tariffs [9] - The Trump administration aims to force India to make systemic changes that have been problematic for a long time [10] - India might strike a deal that maintains high protection levels while giving the US something it can live with, similar to deals with other countries [11] India's Strategic Positioning - India prioritizes the interests of its farmers, fishermen, and dairy farmers, even at a potential cost [1] - India's purchase of Russian crude oil is a deeply structural issue for its economy [2] - India has a long history of nonalignment and is positioning itself for life outside the US sphere [7] - India is reaching out to countries like Brazil and China, which could threaten long-term US objectives [6] - President Trump opposes BRICS countries, including India, from countering US power or establishing a BRICS currency [8] Geopolitical Context - Traditional US allies are struggling to compromise with the White House [4] - The US administration has treated traditional allies more like adversaries [5] - During the Biden years, there was a lot of courting of India to act as a bulwark against China [5] - Narendra Modi will meet with Lula da Silva, with a first visit to China in seven years [6]